中国房地产泡沫的测度方法研究综述  

A Research Reviewon Method for Measuring China's Real Estate Bubble

作　　者：王浩[1] 

机构地区：[1]宜宾学院政府管理学院,四川宜宾644000

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2017年第8期78-86,共9页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目<房地产调控政策的影响及其效应研究>(12BJY053);宜宾学院院级课程<我国房地产泡沫测度方法研究>(2016QD040)

摘　　要：测度中国房地产泡沫已成为当前重要研究领域,成千上万篇既有文献呈现了区别显著的测度方法。不同测度方法的研究思路不同,不同研究思路依靠的理论和现实基础不同,不同测度方法的适用性不同。通过对既有文献中不同测度方法的研究思路述评,并结合中国经济和房地产发展等现实情况对不同测度方法的适用性进行分析,得出结论:基于研究思路和现实基础的结合,房价收入比指标最适用于测度当前中国城市住宅市场泡沫水平。Measures of the real estate bubble in China has become an important research field , Tens of thousands of literature presented remarkably different measure method. Research idea of the different measure method and the applicability of the different measure method to the reality of our country is different because different research idea rely on different theoretical and practical basis. The author draw a conclusion through commentary on different research idea and analyze the applicability of the different measure way combining the reality in china. The conclusion is that only the index of ratio of housing price to income is most applicable to measure the current bubble of urban housing market in china, based on the current research status and realistic foundation.

关 键 词：房地产泡沫 测度方法 研究思路 适用性 

分 类 号：F123[经济管理—世界经济]