物流业与金融业协同演化机制及路径优化研究  

Research on Synergetic Evolution Mechanism and Path Optimization between Logistics Industry and Financial Industry

作　　者：唐建荣 姜翠芸 TANG Jian-rong JIANG Cui-yun(School of Business, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China)

机构地区：[1]江南大学商学院,江苏无锡214122

出　　处：《商业研究》2017年第8期175-183,共9页Commercial Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"小样本非等距灰色预测模型建模及其应用研究";项目编号:71301061;中央高校专项项目;项目编号:2015JDZD11

摘　　要：物流与金融的整合创新,构建风险共治、利益共赢的物流-金融复合系统,是物流业进一步发展提升的有效途径。本文选取我国31省市2004-2014年物流业与金融业宏观数据,运用熵权法分别衡量区域物流能力和金融绩效水平,基于哈肯模型构建物流-金融复合系统分析物流金融协同发展路径和演变规律。研究发现,物流能力在复合系统演变过程中起主导作用;物流业的发展对金融业有正反馈效应,而金融市场对物流业发展未起到充分的支持作用;我国物流-金融协同水平整体已进入"协作级"阶段,物流能力、金融绩效和协同水平均呈东-中-西三级阶梯式递减趋势。据此,目标协同、发展耦合、风险共担、信息共享和政策引导是物流业与金融业协同发展的有效措施。The integration and innovation of logistics and finance, and the construction of a logistics financial complex system with both risk sharing and win-win benefits are the effective ways for the further development and improvement of logistics industry. The paper selects 31 provinces and cities＇ macro data of logistics industry and financial industry from 2004 to 2014, and uses the entropy weight method to measure regional logistics capabihty and financial performance. Then the study builds logistics - finance compound system based on Hawking model to study collaborative development path and evolution rules of the logistics finance. The results show that logistics capability plays a leading role in the com- pound system＇s evolution process; the development of the logistics industry has positive effects on finance, but the finan- cial markets do not have sufficient support to the logistics industry ; the overall level of logistics - finance cooperation has entered into ＂collaboration stage＂, logistics capability, financial performance and synergetic level all show east - middle - west decreasing trend. Based on the results, the paper puts forward object synergy, development coupling, risk-sharing, information-sharing and policy guidance, are effective measures for the coordinated development between logistics industry and financial industry.

关 键 词：物流能力 金融绩效 哈肯模型 协同发展 

分 类 号：F250[经济管理—国民经济]