国内外心血管疾病系统动力学模型研究现状分析  

Analysis on the Research Status of System Dynamics Model in the Cardiovascular Diseases at Home and Abroad

作　　者：郭丽君[1] 鲍勇[2,3] GUO Li-jun BAO Yong(College of Health Information Technology and Management, Shanghai University of Medicine ＆ Health Sciences, Shanghai 201318, China School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China tiongqiao Internationl Institute of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200336, China)

机构地区：[1]上海健康医学院健康信息技术与管理学院,上海市201318 [2]上海交通大学医学院公共卫生学院,上海市200025 [3]上海交通大学医学院虹桥国际医学研究院,上海市200336

出　　处：《中国全科医学》2017年第23期2925-2929,共5页Chinese General Practice

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71373159);教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(13YJAZH003);上海市卫生计生委第四轮公共卫生三年行动计划重点学科建设计划(沪卫计科教[2016]3号);上海卫生计生委面上项目(201640338);上海交通大学医学院虹桥国际医学研究院(同仁医发[2014]79号);河南省科技厅科技攻关计划(162102310118);上海健康医学院种子基金[上健医校(2015)39号]

摘　　要：心血管疾病发病率高,疾病负担重,预计到2030年仍呈现上升趋势。国外构建心血管疾病系统动力学模型技术已相当成熟。我国也已完成构建卫生资源筹资与利用系统、医疗卫生服务系统、社区卫生服务系统及公共卫生服务系统等的系统动力学模型,这些均为完成构建心血管疾病预防控制的系统动力学模型奠定了良好基础。Cardiovascular diseases（ CVDs） remain the high prevalence and disease burden. The prevalence of CVDs is estimated to remain high until 2030. To decrease the impact of CVDs and to prevent CVDs,the system dynamic model has been well established for CVDs in developed countries. In China,the system dynamic models have also been established for health resource financing and utilization system,medical health service system, community health service system and public health service system. All these available system dynamic models in China have laid a good foundation for constructing the system dynamic model for CVDs control and prevention.

关 键 词：心血管疾病 模型 心血管 卫生动力学 系统动力学 

分 类 号：R195.1[医药卫生—卫生统计学]