海上丝绸之路沿线港口物流对国际贸易的影响——基于15个港口的面板数据分析  

Influence of Port Logistics of Maritime Silk Road on International Trade——Based on Panel Data of 15 Ports

作　　者：杨林燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]厦门海洋职业技术学院,福建厦门361012

出　　处：《太原学院学报（社会科学版）》2017年第3期14-17,26,共5页Journal of Taiyuan University(Social Science Edition)

摘　　要：以中国海上丝绸之路沿线15个重要港口节点为研究对象,基于2000——2016年的面板数据,采用固定效应模型考察了海上丝绸之路港口物流发展水平对进出口贸易的影响。实证分析的结果表明:以港口货物吞吐量衡量的港口物流发展水平与货物进出口贸易额之间具有显著的正相关关系;稳健性检验的回归结果显示港口货物吞吐量每增加1个百分点,货物进出口贸易额上升0.793个百分点,表明港口物流发展水平对货物进出口贸易增长有显著且稳定的推动作用。Based on the panel data of the 15 important ports along the maritime Silk Road from 2000 to 2016,using fix effect model,this paper examines the influence of port logistics on the international trade. The empirical results indicate that the relationship between the development of port logistics and the international goods trade is obviously positive. The result of robustness test shows that one percent increase of port goods volume could promote 0. 793 percent increase of international trade value,which shows the obvious and stable effect of the development of port logistics towards the increase of international trade.

关 键 词：丝绸之路 港口物流 国际贸易 

分 类 号：F55[经济管理—产业经济]