基于可信性测度理论的装配式建筑施工过程风险性评估  

Risk Assessment of Prefabricated Construction Process Based on the Credibility Measure

作　　者：张文佳[1] 李慧民[1] 赵地[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安建筑科技大学土木工程学院,西安710055

出　　处：《工业安全与环保》2017年第8期13-17,86,共6页Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51178386);住建部科技项目(2015-R3-003);校青年科技项目(QN1513)

摘　　要：为降低装配式建筑施工过程安全事故的发生率,保障装配式建筑施工过程的安全,针对我国当前装配式建筑施工过程的特点,结合实地调研及专家咨询,构建了基于结构熵权-可信性测度理论的装配式建筑施工过程的风险性评估模型,并将该模型应用于5个工程实例中,取得了良好的效果。结果表明,该模型是结构熵权与可信性测度理论的有机结合,为客观评估装配式建筑施工过程安全风险性并有效控制施工过程的安全风险提供了新的思路。In order to reduce the incidence of prefabricated construction process safety accidents and ensure the safety of prefabricated construction process,in view of the characteristics of the current assembly building construction process and combining field research and expert advice,the risk assessment model of prefabricated construction process based on entropy-credibility measure theory is constructed,and the model is applied in five engineering cases,and good results are obtained. Research results show that the model is an organic combination of the entropy weight theory and the theory of the credibility measure,and it provides a new way of thinking for objectively assess the prefabricated construction process safety risk and effectivly control of the security risks of the construction process.

关 键 词：装配式建筑 施工过程 结构熵权法 可信性测度理论 风险性评估 

分 类 号：TU714[建筑科学—建筑技术科学] TU741