基于博弈论的甩挂车辆共享策略分析  

Analysis on the Sharing Strategy of Roving Vehicle Based on Game Theory

作　　者：赵鲁华[1] 王恩童 

机构地区：[1]山东科技大学交通学院,山东青岛266590

出　　处：《物流科技》2017年第9期77-79,共3页Logistics Sci-Tech

基　　金：山东科技大学人才引进基金项目;项目编号:2015RCJJ033;山东科技大学教学拔尖人才项目;项目编号:BJRC20170505

摘　　要：甩挂车辆共享是发展社会化甩挂运输的有效手段,以企业间"合作、共享"理念促进道路货运业的发展。然而,甩挂车辆共享的实现受很多因素限制,甩挂车辆共享的实现是否会造成货运行业垄断是大众关心的重要因素之一。针对这一问题,以市场自我调节机制为基础,兼顾企业间货运量的相互制约,构建甩挂车辆共享策略下的古诺的双头垄断模型和扩展型博弈模型。通过绘制博弈树和博弈战略式表述分析各企业间对于协定垄断的策略集和实现货运垄断的可能性。得出甩挂车辆共享策略下,企业联盟间遵从协定、实现垄断的概率与参与合作的企业数量成反比,并对甩挂运输的发展有一定的推动作用,为甩挂车辆共享策略的实施提供了一定的理论依据。As an effective means to develop the socialized trailer transportation, the sharing of dumping trailer vehicles promote the development of road freight industry with the idea of cooperation and sharing between enterprises. However, the realization of sharing dumping trailer vehicles is limited by many factors. Worrying about the freight trade monopoly caused by realization of sharing dumping trailers is one of the important factors in public. This paper constructs the Cournot duopoly model and the ex- tended gaming model under the strategy of sharing dumping trailers. This paper also analyzes the strategic set of the agreement monopoly and the possibility of realizing the freight monopoly by means of gaming tree and gaming strategy. It is concluded that the probability of following the agreement between enterprise unions to realize monopoly is inversely proportional to the number of enterprises participat/ng in the cooperation. The sharing of dumping trailer vehicles also has some influences on the development of transportation with dumping trailers. Which provides a theoretical basis for the implementation of the shared dumping trailer ve- hicles.

关 键 词：甩挂车辆共享 行业垄断 古诺的双头垄断模型 扩展型模型 

分 类 号：F540.5[经济管理—产业经济]