体育赛事风险评估模糊物元模型的构建与应用研究  

A study on construction and application of fuzzy matter-element model for sports events risk assessment

作　　者：贾洪祥[1] 索瑞[2] 

机构地区：[1]天津商业大学体育教学部,天津300134 [2]河北工程大学公共体育部,河北邯郸056038

出　　处：《辽宁体育科技》2017年第4期17-21,共5页Liaoning Sport Science and Technology

基　　金：2016年天津市科委科技发展战略研究计划项目(项目编号:16ZLZXZF00360)

摘　　要：为了在赛事筹备阶段充分评价预估可能存在的风险以及风险级别,将模糊数学的原理引入到体育赛事风险评价中。首先对体育赛事风险评估概念进行界定,依据风险来源、历史资料、专家建议构建了赛事风险评估指标体系;然后构建了风险评估模糊物元模型,并且采用信息熵客观赋权与德尔菲法主观赋权结合的方式确定指标权重;最后通过对赛事进行实际的评价分析,给出了利用该模型进行评价的方法和过程。In order to fully evaluate the possible risks and risk levels in the preparatory stage of the event, the principle of fuzzy teaching is introduced into the risk evaluation of sporting events. Firstly, the concept of risk assessment of sports events is defined, and then the risk assessment index system is constructed according to the source of risk, historical data and expert advice; then constructs the fuzzy matter-element model of risk assessment, and uses information entropy objective and the Delphi subjective weighting as the way to determine the index weight; Finally, the model are given. through the actual evaluation of the event analysis, the method and process of evaluating

关 键 词：体育赛事 风险评估 指标体系 模糊物元 

分 类 号：G80-05[文化科学—运动人体科学]