利润率下降、部门间利润率差异与经济周期  

The Falling Profit Rate,Different Profit Rates between Sectors and Business Cycle

作　　者：王英杰[1] 于静静[2,3] 符瑞武[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学经济学院 [2]北京大学环境科学与工程学院 [3]深圳市政府发展研究中心

出　　处：《兰州学刊》2017年第10期174-187,共14页

摘　　要：次债危机爆发引起马克思主义关于现代经济危机解释的争议。首先,19世纪末英国的数据支持利润率下降导致经济危机产生的观点,但是置盐、哈曼、哈森、弗里曼对这个观点保有争议。其次,二战后美国数据并不支持利润率下降规律;相反,非金融部门单位生产利润和单位劳动成本的增速可能是一致的,二者在长期内是上升的;并且,美国金融部门与非金融部门间利润率差异与新世纪后的经济周期十分契合。最后,文章考察了中国的部门间利润率差异状况。在金融危机期间中国金融部门的利润率呈下降趋势,工业部门的利润率比较稳定。此外,两个部门间利润率差异在不断缩小,并未出现反弹趋势,预示中国经济仍面临一定风险。The subprime lending crisis stirs up a controversy on the explanations of business cycle in Marxism. Firstly, We find the data of Britain in the end of 19th century supporting the view that the fall of profit rate leads to economy crisis, and discuss the theoretical disagreement mainly focusing on Okishio, Harman, Husson and Freeman. Secondly, the data of America after WW I1 is failed to verify the law. In contrast, unit labor cost and unit profits from current production in non -financial sector tend to rise in the long time and they has the same change rate. We also find that the different profit rates between financial sector and non -financial sector are consistent with business cycle. At last, we analysis the discrepancy of profit rates between sectors in China and find some different characters. In the term of crisis, the profit rate of financial sector has a sustained declining, but the profit rate of industry sector keeps stable. Besides that, the gap of profit rate between sectors is shrinking, not showing a rebound, which means the Chinese economy is still facing some risks.

关 键 词：利润率 马克思主义经济危机理论 经济周期 

分 类 号：F014.3[经济管理—政治经济学]