昆明市人口结构与区域经济耦合的关联分析  

Correlation Analysis on the Coupling Between Population Structure and Regional Economy in Kunming City

作　　者：杨艳俊[1] 张欣玲[2] 柳德江[2] 王泉[2] 王树超 

机构地区：[1]玉溪师范学院资源环境学院,云南玉溪653100 [2]云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院,昆明650092 [3]腾冲市第六中学,云南腾冲679114

出　　处：《曲靖师范学院学报》2017年第4期16-21,共6页Journal of Qujing Normal University

基　　金：云南省哲学社科项目:"云南沿边地区人口安全预警系统研究"(QN2016023);国家自然科学基金项目(41071100;40861004)资助

摘　　要：为揭示昆明市各区、县人口结构与区域经济发展时空耦合关系,该研究应用"灰色关联系统模型",建立人口结构子系统及经济子系统,对昆明市6区7县1市人口结构与经济发展耦合关系定量分析,探究昆明市人口结构与区域经济发展的适应程度,借助Arc GIS软件,绘制出昆明市各区、县人口结构与经济耦合度及耦合类型空间分布图。依据昆明市人口结构与经济发展耦合关联系数、耦合度,将昆明市各区、县人口结构与经济发展耦合类型划分为低水平耦合发展型、拮抗耦合发展型、磨合耦合发展型、协调耦合发展型四类。In order to reveal the space - time coupling relationship between population structure and regional economic development in Kunming, the research, with the application of the grey system model, establishes a population structure subsystem and an economic subsystem, and makes a quantitative analysis of coupling relationship among 6 districts ,7 counties and 1 city in Kunming to test the adaptation of the population struc- ture and the regional economic development in Kunming. With the help of ArcGIS software, the spatial dis- tribution map of the coupling degree and coupling type of population structure and economy in Kunming is drawn. Based on the coupling correlation coefficient and coupling degree of population structure and econom- ic development in Kunming, coupling type of population structure and economic development is divided into four types, namely, low coupling, antagonistic coupling, running -in coupling and coordinated coupling.

关 键 词：人口结构 区域经济 灰色关联分析 耦合度 昆明市 

分 类 号：C923[社会学—人口学]