随迁抑或留守:农民工携带子女进城的基本状况与影响因素研究  

The Current Status and Influential Factors of the Rural Migrant Workers' Decissions to Bring Their Children Into the Urban

作　　者：李静美[1] 邬志辉[1] 

机构地区：[1]教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地东北师范大学中国农村教育发展研究院,吉林长春350002

出　　处：《南方人口》2017年第4期56-67,共12页South China Population

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学2013年度重大课题攻关项目"城镇化背景下我国义务教育改革和发展机制研究"(项目编号:13JZD043)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：新型城镇化是国家发展的宏观战略,农村人口在进城过程中是否携带子女,关涉儿童健康成长、农民工家庭幸福以及社会的和谐安定。基于对全国范围农民工的问卷调查发现,五分之二以上的农民工有携带子女进城的行为,并且不同特征的农民工在携带子女进城状况方面存在显著性差异。进一步通过二元Logistic回归模型分析农民工基本状况、工作状况和未来打算等因素对农民工携带子女决策的影响,结果显示,农民工的家庭年收入、务工地类型、所从事的行业以及关于未来打算是影响农民工携带子女进城的重要因素。这对于理解农民工携带子女进城原因、研判随迁子女未来走势等有一定的启示意义。New urbanization policy is the macro strategy of national development for China. The favorable polices for rural migrant workers to bring their children into the city can significantly affect on their children＇s healthy growth, the happiness of rural migrant workers＂ family and the harmony and stability of the society. The data of the questionnaire of an national survey of the rural migrant workers show that more than 2/5 of rural migrant workers have brought their children into the city and the different characteristics of migrant workers affect significantly their decission to bring their children into the cities where they work. The analysis of the rural migrant workers＂ basic conditions, working conditions and the future plan through binary logistic regression model shows that annual household income, the city where they work, the type of job and the future plan are the important factors affecting migrant workers＂ decision to bring their children into the city or not. The findings are of great significance to understand the reasons and the future trend of the rural migrant workers to bring children into cities.

关 键 词：农民工子女 随迁 留守 影响因素 

分 类 号：C92-05[社会学—人口学]