美国“再工业化”政策对中美贸易影响的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of“Reindustrialization”Policy of United States on Sino-US Trade

作　　者：石红莲[1] 王彬[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北师范大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《价格月刊》2017年第9期49-54,共6页

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"基于中外比较及博弈分析的政府统计组织与改革研究"(批准号:71463052)

摘　　要：奥巴马政府为应对美国"次贷危机"以及国际金融危机,提出美国"再工业化"战略,重点是发展实体经济。特朗普上台后实施"企业回迁"战略,以恢复美国制造业而促进经济增长和增加就业。美国"再工业化"政策的实施会对中美贸易产生重要影响。首先对美国"再工业化"政策进行指数化,然后建立回归模型分析美国"再工业化"政策对中美贸易影响。结论为美国"再工业化"政策在短期内阻碍中美贸易的影响不显著,但长期会阻碍中美贸易的健康发展。In order to cope with the ＂subprime mortgage crisis＂ and the international financial crisis, the Obama government put forward the strategy of ＂reindustrialization＂ which focused on the industry economy. Trump has implemented strategy of ＂enterprise moving to America＂ to recover manufacturing industry, promote economic growth and raise employment. This paper first takes US ＂reindustrialization＂ for indexization, builds regression model to analyze the reindustrialization policy on Sino-US trade. The paper makes conclusion that influence of reindustrialization policies is not significant on Sino-US trade in the short term, but in the long-term will hinder the sound development of Sino US trade.

关 键 词：美国“再工业化” 中美贸易 实证分析 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]