“丝绸之路经济带”沿线国家物流水平对新疆国际贸易的影响研究  

Influence of logistics level of the countries along the “Silk Road Economic Belt” to the national trade of Xinjiang

作　　者：赵珊珊[1] 李红[1] 唐洪松 ZHAO Shan-shan LI Hong TANG Hong-song(Department of Economics and Trade,Xinjiang Agriculture University, Urumqi 830052,Xinjiang,China Department of Management,Xinjiang Agriculture University, Urumqi 830052,Xinjiang,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学经济与贸易学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052 [2]新疆农业大学管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052

出　　处：《干旱区地理》2017年第4期897-905,共9页Arid Land Geography

基　　金：2016年国家自然科学基金项目"区域果蔬外贸冷链物流模式及其机制创新研究-基于新疆9个国家级陆路口岸"(71562033)

摘　　要：以物流绩效指数(LPI)反映一个国家和地区的物流水平,借助拓展贸易引力模型实证研究"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家物流水平对新疆国际贸易的影响。结果显示:(1)"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家的物流水平差异较大,欧洲国家物流水平较高,新疆周边国家物流水平较低。(2)新疆主要与"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家进行贸易活动,国际贸易伙伴高度集中在上合组织国家。(3)"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家物流水平的提升对其与新疆的国际贸易有一定促进作用,并在一定程度上降低了地理距离对双方贸易的阻碍作用。此外,经济规模、经济开放程度、贸易便利化程度等其他因素对"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家与新疆的国际贸易规模也有重要影响。中国和新疆必须重视与"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家在物流领域的投资建设合作,借助"一带一路"的战略机遇,加强与物流水平较低的周边国家和部分西亚国家的物流基础设施建设的投资合作,帮助其提高物流水平,进而深化"丝绸之路经济带"沿线国家与新疆的经贸合作。Discussion on the logistics level of counties along the＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂and its impact on the international trade of Xinjiang is of great realistic importance to promote China and Xinjiang to implement the strategy of＂the Belt and Road＂. Based on the analysis of the logistics performance level of countries along the＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂and the current situation of the international trade between Xinjiang and the countries along the＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂,by means of expanding trade gravity model,the paper analyzed the impact of logistics performance level and other factors on bilateral trade. The results show：（1）Among the countries along the＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂,the countries whose economy is developed and has perfect social economic system,have higher logistics levels;while the logistics levels of developing countries are lower. From high to low,the logistics levels in each region rank as： Western Europe,Southern Europe,Eastern Europe,South Asia,West Asia,and Central Asia. The highest logistics level in 2014 is in Germany（4.09）,the lowest is in Afghanistan（1.96）;the total import and export trade volume between Xinjiang and the countries along the＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂is growing rapidly,rising from 12.832 billion dollars in 2007 to 22.850 billion dollars in 2014.The main international trade partners of Xinjiang are the SCO countries;Kazakhstan is Xinjiang’s largest trade partner,followed by Kyrgyzstan,Russia,Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. In 2014,the total import and export volume between Xinjiang and these countries accounted for 83.81% of the cumulative proportion of the total import and export trade volume between Xinjiang and the countries along the＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂.（2）The logistics level of the countries along＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂has a positive effect on promoting the national trade of Xinjiang and themselves. And to some extent,this can reduce the resistance of geographic distance towards mutual trade. The elasticity coeffici

关 键 词：丝绸之路经济带 物流绩效指数(LPI) 进出口贸易 贸易引力模型 新疆 

分 类 号：F259.1[经济管理—国民经济]