产业结构演进对城镇化影响的实证检验  

Empirical Estimation on Effect of Industrial Structure Evolution on Urbanization

作　　者：纪明[1] 杜聪聪[1] 

机构地区：[1]广西师范学院民族地区新型城镇化研究中心,南宁530001

出　　处：《统计与决策》2017年第17期125-129,共5页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家哲学社会科学基金资助项目(14BJL075)

摘　　要：文章从产业结构合理化与产业结构高级化这两个动态角度测度了产业结构演进,并运用全国29个地区1996—2015年平衡面板数据,定量分析了产业结构演进对东、中、西部地区城镇化发展产生的影响。结果表明:东、中、西部地区的产业结构高级化对城镇化的影响均强于产业结构合理化;西部地区产业结构合理化对城镇化的推动作用强于东中部地区;东部地区产业结构高级化对城镇化的推动作用强于中西部地区。This paper estimates the industrial structure evolution from two dynamic perspectives of industrial structure rationalization and the industrial structure upgrading, and uses the balance panel data of 29 regions in China from 1996 to 2015 to quantitatively analyze the impacts of industrial structure evolution on urbanization development in the east, middle and west areas. The study result is shown as follows： The impacts of industrial structure upgrading on urbanization in the east, middle and west areas are all stronger than industrial structure rationalization. The promotion effect of industrial structure rationalization in the west area is stronger than that in the east and middle areas. The promotion effect of industrial structure upgrading in the east area is stronger than that in middle and west areas.

关 键 词：产业结构 城镇化 合理化 高级化 

分 类 号：F291[经济管理—国民经济]