官员晋升速度能够影响地方经济增长吗?——来自中国地级市市长的经验证据  

Can Official Promotion Speed Affect Local Economic Growth? Prefecture-level City Mayor Empirical Evidence from China

作　　者：李树[1] 高珺[1] 黄世琦[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南政法大学经济学院

出　　处：《经济评论》2017年第5期107-122,共16页Economic Review

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目"生态环境保护的市场化融资机制与模式研究"(项目编号:14AJY009);国家社科基金青年项目"居民财产性收入的促增与公平分配机制研究"(项目编号:12CJL022);教育部人文社科基金青年项目"中国式分权下的地方政府质量提升路径研究"(项目编号:12YJC790008);西南政法大学研究生科研创新计划"官员晋升速度与经济增长"项目的资助

摘　　要：本文使用中国2000-2013年1 130位地级市市长的信息,探讨了官员晋升速度对经济增长的影响,以及影响官员晋升速度的因素。研究发现,官员晋升速度对经济增长的影响呈先上升后下降的倒U型趋势,临界值为1/26(即工龄为26年时),且中部地区官员晋升速度对经济增长的影响要强于东西部地区。对官员晋升速度影响因素的分析发现,官员个体特征和政治关系对晋升速度的影响显著为正。具体而言,官员参加工作时的年龄、学历、汉族身份等个体特征对晋升速度有显著影响,性别、专业背景的影响不显著;跨省交流和省级任职经历对官员晋升速度有显著正向影响,但中央任职经历的影响却不显著。Based on 1130 Chinese mayors＇ data in prefecture-level city from 2000 to 2013, this paper discusses the influence of official promotion speed on local economic growth and the influence factors of the promotion speed. The results show that the official promotion speed and economic growth exhibit a inversed U relationship ,the critical value is 1/26 ,which means job time is 26.And the inversed U relationship is more significant in central China, comparing to the eastern and western China.This paper also finds that the impact of individual characteristics and political relations on promotion speed is significantly positive. Specifically, the start-working age, education, nation have positive and significant effects on promotion speed. However, the impact of gender and major are not significant. Though the experience of working in local provincial government and working in other province matters to promotion speed, the experience of working in central government does not have such significant influence.

关 键 词：地方官员 经济增长 晋升速度 制度激励 

分 类 号：D630.3[政治法律—政治学] F127[政治法律—中外政治制度]