湖北省农业结构调整对农民收入的效应分析  

The effect analysis of agricultural structure adjustment on farmers' income in Hubei Province

作　　者：刘成[1] 周晓时[1] 陈莎莎[1] 刘明迪[1] 李谷成[1] 李勤志[1] 冯中朝[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济管理学院/湖北农村发展研究中心,武汉430070

出　　处：《中国农业大学学报》2017年第9期201-211,共11页Journal of China Agricultural University

基　　金：国家"现代农业产业技术体系建设"专项(CARS-0013);国家自然科学基金项目(71273103;71473100);华中农业大学自主科技创新基金项目(2012YQ003);湖北新型智库(湖北生态文明建设研究院)2017年重点课题;广东省农业厅广东省农业结构调整对农民收入影响研究(粤农计(2015)111号)

摘　　要：为了解湖北省农业结构调整对农民收入的影响机制,分别基于农业生产布局结构以及农业要素投入结构2个视角,一方面利用耦合度指数的方法测算出农业生产结构与比较优势的契合度,回归分析二者耦合度与农民收入之间的关系,另一方面利用要素禀赋结构系数的方法测算出农业生产中要素投入结构的协调性对农民收入的影响。结果表明花生、水稻以及油菜生产结构的合理性对农民收入增长表现为显著影响关系,其中油菜和花生表现为正向影响,水稻为负向影响,玉米、棉花以及小麦并未对农民收入形成显著影响,而各种要素禀赋结构系数的极差与农民收入增长呈现负向影响关系。基于此,湖北省农业发展应发挥本省各农作物的生产比较优势来规划农业生产布局结构,加大水稻以及油菜等优势作物的发展力度;促进劳动力自由流动,在保证农业用地的根本属性基础上合理推动土地流转,鼓励二、三产业资本合理进入农业生产,以实现劳动力、土地以及资本的最优配置。Investigate the influencing mechanism of agricultural structure adjustment on farmers＇ income from two perspectives,which are the layout of agricultural production allocation structure and the agricultural factors input structure.On one hand,a coupling index is adopted to measure the integrating degree between agricultural production structure and competitive advantage,and regression method is used to analyze the relationship between the coupling and farmers＇ income.On the other hand,factor endowment structural index is employed to measure the influence of the coordination of factor input structure on farmers＇ income.The results show that there is a significant influence of structure rationality of peanuts,rice and rapeseed on the increase of farmers＇ income.The influences of rapeseed and peanut are positive,while rice is negative.However,corn,cotton and wheat display no significant influences on farmers＇ income.The range of each factor＇s endowment structural index show negative influence on farmer＇s income increase.Based on this Hubei agricultural development should play the comparative advantage of each crop in Hubei province to plan agricultural production layout structure,stress the optimal crops＇ development such as rice and rapeseed; promote the labor free movement and land circulation based on the assurance of agricultural land,and also encourage capital in the second and third industry to invest into agricultural production to realize the optimal allocation of labor,land and capital.

关 键 词：比较优势 农业结构调整 耦合度 农业要素结构 

分 类 号：F321[经济管理—产业经济]