林区扶贫绩效评价:来自赣州市15个林业县的实证研究  

Performance Evaluation of Poverty Alleviation in Forest Region:An Empirical Study on 15 Forestry Counties in Ganzhou City

作　　者：邱海兰[1] 廖文梅[1,2] 张广来[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西农业大学经济管理学院,南昌330045 [2]江西农业大学农村土地资源利用与保护研究中心,南昌330045

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2017年第4期29-35,共7页Issues of Forestry Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71463025;71363025;71663029);江西现代农业及其优势产业可持续发展的决策支持协同创新中心招标(委托)课题(XDNYA1512);江西省杰出青年人才计划资助项目(2017BCB23043);江西省百千万人才人选工程国(境)外研修计划资助项目

摘　　要：为了厘清现有的扶贫政策对林区的减贫效果,探索扶贫政策在林区贫困县与非贫困县实施的效果差异,利用2008~2014年赣南林区15个林业县的面板数据,首先通过描述性统计分析的方法,比较了林区贫困县和非贫困县在人均GDP和农村居民人均纯收入两方面的差异变化,再利用方差分析法和计量回归模型,探究影响林区贫困县和非贫困县在人均GDP和农村居民人均纯收入上存在差异的显著因素。结果表明:在2008~2014年期间,赣州林区贫困县的人均GDP增长量仅为非贫困县的60.73%,造成差异的主要影响因素是人均固定资产投资额和人均消费额;贫困县的农村居民人均纯收入增长量为非贫困县的126.85%,造成差异的主要影响因素是农村人均固定资产投资额和农村从业人员数。政府扶贫工作对林区贫困县农户减贫效果比较明显,但贫困县和非贫困县之间的经济发展差距仍然很大,政府应提高对贫困县的固定资产投资水平,引导贫困县居民转变消费观念、促进地方消费。⑴ Background——Poverty has been a major obstacle to development the economy in developing country.In China,the poverty in forest region affects farmers' life,the stability of social and the development of forestry. So the problem that how to solve the poverty problem in the forest region has been the focus and difficulties for poverty alleviation work. The Former Central Soviet Area in Gannan is a typical example of concentrated poverty areas in China and the key forest area in Jiangxi Province. So poverty alleviation is crucial to implement the reconstruction and development for the Former Central Soviet Areas in Gannan.⑵ Methods——This paper used panel data of 15 forestry counties in Gannan forest areas from 2008 to2014. Descriptive statistical analysis method was used to compare the difference between the per capita GDP and the per capita net income of rural residents. Variance analysis method and the econometric regression model were used to explore the different significant factors which affected the per capita GDP and the per capita net income of rural residents between poverty-stricken counties and non-poverty counties in forest areas.⑶ Results——In terms of per capita GDP,the per capita investment in fixed assets and per capita consumption had a significant impact on per capita GDP in the forestry poverty-stricken counties and forestry nonpoverty counties. But the per capita exports had no significant impact on per capita GDP in the forestry povertystricken counties and forestry non-poverty counties. Increment of per capita GDP in forestry poverty-stricken counties is 0. 275 5 yuan higher than forestry non-poverty counties when per capita investment in fixed assets increased by 1 yuan. When per capita consumption increased by 1 yuan,increment of per capita GDP in forestry poverty-stricken counties is 0. 879 3 yuan less than forestry non-poverty counties. In terms of per capita net income of rural residents,the rural employees and the rural per capita fixed assets investment had a significan

关 键 词：林区贫困 扶贫 面板数据 

分 类 号：F326.23[经济管理—产业经济]