高铁对城市房价的非线性及异质性影响研究  

A Study of the Nonlinear and Heterogeneity Influence of High-Speed Railway on the Real Estate Prices

作　　者：张铭洪[1] 张清源[1] 梁若冰[1] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《当代财经》2017年第9期3-13,共11页Contemporary Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目"交通设施的空间网络特征及异质性产业集聚效应研究"(71573218)

摘　　要：作为现阶段我国重要的交通基础设施,高铁建设对住房价格存在着重要的影响。基于2005—2014年京沪高铁沿线13个主要城市站点周边2245个楼盘的面板数据,构建三重差分模型分析了高铁对房地产价格的影响。研究发现:(1)高铁建设确实显著提高了沿线城市的房地产价格,这种提升效应在一定距离区间内随着距离的增加逐渐减弱,并且主要体现在高铁的建设期中;(2)高铁对城市房价的影响存在显著的异质性。具体而言,高铁对房价高、人口规模大和经济总量高的城市的房价提振作用显著大于房价低、人口规模小和经济总量低的城市。As one of China＇s import ant transportation infrastructure constructions, the high-speed railway construction can exert significant influences on the real estate prices. Based on the panel data of 2245 premises around the stations of 13 major cities along the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway from 2005 to 2014, this paper tries to analyze the influence of the high-speed railway on the real estate prices by constructing a triple difference model. The findings are that：（1） the construction of high-speed railway can really raise the prices of houses along the high-speed railway significantly,however, within a certain distance, this promotion effect would decrease gradually with the increase of the distance, which is mainly reflected during the period of railway construction;（2） there exists a significant heterogeneity in the influence of high-speed railway on the real estate prices; specifically,the promotion effect of high-speed railway is more significant on cities with higher house prices, larger population and larger economic aggregate than on cities with lower house prices, less population and smaller economic aggregate.

关 键 词：高铁 房价 非线性效应 异质性 

分 类 号：F283[经济管理—国民经济]