半干旱区水资源—乡村发展耦合协调评价与实证研究——以通辽市为例  

Evalution on the Coupling of Water Resources and Rural Development System in the Semiarid Area:A Case Study of Tongliao City

作　　者：马力阳 罗其友[1] 李同昇[2] 李婷[3] 龙冬平 MA Liyang LUO Qiyou LI Tongsheng LI Ting LONG Dongping(Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences ,Beijing 100081, China College of Urban and Environment Science, Northwest University, X i＇an 710127, Shaanxi , China State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China Center of Integrated Geographic Information Analysis, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong , China)

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业资源与农业区划研究所,中国北京100081 [2]西北大学城市与环境学院,中国陕西西安710127 [3]中国科学院生态环境研究中心城市与区域生态国家重点实验室,中国北京100085 [4]中山大学地理科学与规划学院综合地理信息研究中心,中国广东广州510275

出　　处：《经济地理》2017年第9期152-159,共8页Economic Geography

基　　金：中国农业科学院科技创新工程(ASTIP-IARRP-2013);水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目(201501031);国家自然科学基金项目(41601174)

摘　　要：在界定水资源—乡村发展系统耦合协调关系内涵的基础上,通过构建水资源—乡村发展系统耦合协调度模型,利用通辽市2005—2014年的面板数据,对其水资源—乡村发展系统耦合协调状态进行了实证分析。结果表明:(1)通辽市水资源系统综合评价指数呈波浪式递增的趋势,且与农业用水总量呈负相关;(2)10年来通辽市乡村发展持续上升但总体水平较低,可分为缓慢增长、较快增长和快速增长三个阶段;(3)通辽市水资源—乡村发展系统耦合协调度不断提高,但耦合协调程度较低,且具有明显的阶段性,随着乡村发展加快造成的水资源系统压力增大,耦合协调度达到阈值。通辽市在促进水资源合理开发利用和乡村转型发展方面仍需做更多工作,以确保水资源—乡村发展系统的协调有序推进。A water-rural development system was established on the basis of defining the relation between water resource and rural development. We performed an empirical analysis on the level of coupling relation in this system by using the panel data in Tongliao from 2005 to 2014. Our results indicated that： （1） comprehensive index in water resource system, which negatively related to the agricultural water consumption, showed a wave-like increasing trend. （2） Index in rural development system rise steadily but was still in the low level in general, which could be divided as three periods in last ten years, namely slowly-deforming, steady growth and rapid growth. （3） Coupling degree in the water-rural development system was improved continuously with a relatively low level, which revealed a phasic characteristics and would reach the threshold due to the increased pressure in water resource system caused by the acceleration of rural development. Therefore, in Tongliao Ctiy more efforts that promoting the rational utilization of water resources as well as rural transformation are needed to ensure the advancement of water-rural development systems orderly.

关 键 词：水资源-乡村发展系统 水资源系统 乡村发展 耦合协调度 评价体系 半干旱区 通辽市 

分 类 号：F061.3[经济管理—政治经济学]