宝鸡市近10年旅游产业对区域经济增长贡献的计量分析  

Econometric analysis of the contribution of tourism industry to regional economic growth of Baoji City in recent 10 years

作　　者：万红莲[1,2] 赵亚伟[1,2] 王宝琪[1,2] 石岩[1,2] 崔善杰 

机构地区：[1]宝鸡文理学院灾害监测与机理模拟陕西省重点实验室,陕西宝鸡721013 [2]宝鸡文理学院地理与环境学院,陕西宝鸡721013

出　　处：《宝鸡文理学院学报（自然科学版）》2017年第3期72-75,92,共5页Journal of Baoji University of Arts and Sciences(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71361023);陕西省科技厅科技统筹计划项目(2016KTCL03-17);陕西省教育厅重点实验室项目(15JS009);宝鸡文理学院自然地理学陕西省重点学科基金资助

摘　　要：目的通过对近10年宝鸡市旅游业发展近况的研究分析、了解宝鸡市旅游业对区域经济的贡献。方法采用定量分析法研究宝鸡市2005-2015年旅游综合收入及GDP的增长变化,从旅游收入依存度、旅游业贡献率、旅游业拉动率、旅游收入弹性等4个方面入手,通过实证分析研究宝鸡市旅游业对当地经济发展的贡献。结果宝鸡市区域经济发展对旅游业的依赖程度较高,经济增长中的旅游产业贡献较大,旅游产业对经济的拉动效应在逐年增大,旅游需求弹性变动更直观地显示了旅游业与宝鸡经济的密切联系。结论近10年来宝鸡市的旅游业发展对整体经济增长的贡献在逐渐增加,旅游业发展潜力巨大,前景广阔。Purposes To analyze the contribution of tourism to regional economy through the study on the tourism development of Baoji City, Shaanxi, China in recent 10 years. Methods Quantitative analysis was adopted to investigate tourism comprehensive income and GDP growth changes from 2005 to 2015, and empirical analysis was used to reveal the contribution of Baoji tourism to the local eco- nomic development from such four aspects as the dependency degree of tourism income, contribution rate of tourism, pulling rate of tourism and elasticity of tourism income. Results--The regional econo- my of Baoji City is more dependent on tourism, and tourism has made great contribution to the growth of regional economy in Baoji City. The effect of tourism on economy is increased year by year, and the changes in the elasticity of tourism demand show more intuitively the relationship between tourism and economy. Conclusions--The contribution of tourism industry to economic growth has increased in the past 10 years. The tourism development still has a great potential.

关 键 词：旅游产业 依存度 贡献度 拉动率 弹性 

分 类 号：F590[经济管理—旅游管理]