进口服务贸易、知识溢出与后发国家技术追赶——基于中国和印度的比较分析  

Imports of Service Trade,Knowledge Spillover and Technological Catching-up in Late Developing Countries:Comparative Analysis of China and India

作　　者：陈启斐[1] 张为付 

机构地区：[1]南京财经大学国际经贸学院,江苏南京210023 [2]南京财经大学科研处,江苏南京210023

出　　处：《上海财经大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2017年第5期15-26,共12页Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题"泛TPP经贸规则下我国融入国际价值链分工战略研究"(16JZD019);教育部青年基金项目"服务业开放对全要素生产率提升的影响机制与路径选择:基于企业异质性视角的研究"(16YJC790098);国家自然科学基金面上项目"生产性服务业对先进制造业的捕捉与匹配问题研究--基于反应与扩散模型的研究方法"(71540024);国家自然科学基金青年项目"全球价值链重构背景下双重外包对我国产业升级动能重塑的机制研究"(71703064)

摘　　要：相对于货物贸易,服务贸易内嵌的技术和知识含量更高,表现出更强烈的溢出效应。文章首先建立了一个南北服务贸易模型,分析了进口服务贸易对后发国家技术追赶的作用;然后基于中印两国与28个OECD国家双边服务贸易数据,测算了两国进口服务贸易的知识溢出,并利用2000–2013年的面板数据分析了进口服务贸易对中印两国缩短与发达国家技术差距的影响。研究表明,进口服务贸易可以帮助我国完成对发达国家的技术追赶;由于发展模式的差异,进口服务贸易会抑制印度技术追赶的步伐。因此,发展中国家应当鼓励服务业开放,鼓励服务贸易;同时,要注意服务业开放序列,大力发展知识密集的服务贸易。With respect to trade in goods, trade in services is embedded by more technology and knowledge contents, showing a stronger spillover effect. This paper firstly establishes a North-South model of trade in services to analyze the effect of import of trade in services on late developing countries＇ technological catching-up; then based on bilateral service trade data with 28 OECD countries from China and India, it measures the knowledge spillover from import of trade in services between the two countries. In addition, it analyzes the impact of trade in services on shorting the technology gap with the developed countries in China and India by using the panel data from 2000 to 2013. Researches demonstrate that import of trade in services helps China to complete the technological catching-up with developed countries; however India＇ s import of trade in services inhibits the pace of its technological catching-up due to differences in development mode. Therefore, developing countries should encourage services＇ opening-up and trade in services; at the same time, they should pay attention to the opening-up order of services and make great efforts to develop knowledge-intensive trade in services.

关 键 词：进口服务贸易 知识溢出 技术追赶 中印比较 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]