情报分析工作中的模糊性思维及其应用  

Fuzzy Thinking in Intelligence Analysis and Its Application

作　　者：李宇 李建勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学理学院,西安710051

出　　处：《情报杂志》2017年第10期31-35,共5页Journal of Intelligence

摘　　要：[目的/意义]模糊性思维作为一种科学的思维方法,在情报分析工作中越来越受到重视,甚至在某些方面发挥着比精确性思维更重要的作用,因此,通过对在情报分析工作中模糊性思维产生的原因进行分析,进而探究模糊性思维如何在情报流程中进行运用。[方法/过程]首先明确模糊性思维的概念和内涵,而后对情报分析工作中模糊性思维产生的原因进行分析,最后重点探究模糊性思维如何更好地服务于情报分析工作。[结果/结论]通过分析发现,模糊性思维存在于情报流程的各个环节,并且对情报分析工作有着极其重要的影响,因此,应更加重视模糊性思维,使其更好地服务于情报。[Purpose/Significance] As a scientific way of thinking, fuzzy thinking is attracting more and more attention in intelligence a- nalysis work, and is even playing a more important role than precise thinking in certain aspects. Based on the analysis of the causes of fuzzy thinking in intelligence analysis, this paper explores how to use fuzzy thinking in intelligence process. [ Method/Process ] First, the concept of fuzzy thinking and its connotation are clearly defined, and then the reason why fuzzy thinking emerges in intelligence analysis is explored, after that how the fuzzy thinking can better serve the intelligence analysis is analyzed. [ Result/Conclusion] The analysis dis- covers that fuzzy thinking exists in every link of the intelligence process, and it has a very important impact on intelligence analysis work, therefore, great importance should be attached to fuzzy thinking, allowing it to better serve the intelligence work.

关 键 词：模糊性思维 模糊理论 情报分析 情报流程 

分 类 号：E141.6[军事—军事理论]