巢湖市2009-2015年手足口病时空流行特征分析  

Spatio-temporal characteristics analysis of hand,foot and mouth disease in Chaohu City

作　　者：孙美兰[1] 宋玉华[2] 唐继海[3] 杜江[1] 聂金桃[1] 

机构地区：[1]合肥职业技术学院医学分院公共卫生学科,安徽巢湖238000 [2]巢湖市疾病预防控制中心应急办,安徽巢湖238000 [3]安徽省疾病预防控制中心免疫预防科,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《中华疾病控制杂志》2017年第8期809-812,共4页Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention

基　　金：安徽省高校自然科学基金(KJ2016A896)

摘　　要：目的探讨巢湖市2009-2015年手足口病(hand,foot and mouth disease,HFMD)发病的时空分布特点。方法收集巢湖市2009-2015年HFMD疫情监测资料,建立地理信息系统(geographic information systems,GIS)数据库。应用空间统计分析软件GeoDa 1.6对建立的GIS数据库进行全局和局部空间自相关分析;用时间-空间扫描统计软件SaTScan 9.4进行回顾性时空扫描统计。结果巢湖市2009-2015年共报告HFMD 6 960例。2011年、2013-2015年HFMD发病模式存在空间聚集,局部自相关共探测到14个高聚集区;HFMD存在3个时空聚集区,这些聚集区大部分发生在城区街道。结论巢湖市HFMD发病存在时空聚集性,时空聚集性分析有助于深入了解巢湖市HFMD的分布规律和流行趋势,为下一步HFMD的防控提供参考依据。Objective To assess the spatio-temporal clustering of HFMD in Chaohu City from 2009 to 2015.Methods Epidemiological data of HFMD were collected from 2009 to 2015,and the relevant GIS databases were established.The global and local indicators of spatial autocorrelation analysis was carried out with GeoDa 1.6 software,and SaTScan 9.4 was used to describe the retrospective space time scan.Results A total of 6 960 cases were reported in Chaohu city from 2009 to 2015.The HFMD cases were aggregated in Chaohu City,and local indicators of spatial association analysis explored 14 regions of high-incidence clusters in 2011,2013 to 2015.Three statistically significant HFMD clusters were identified.HFMD mostly occurred in urban area.Conclusions HFMD is clustered geographically in Chaohu City.This study may provide clues about HFMD risk factors and provide theoretical basis for further prevention and control in Chaohu City.

关 键 词：手足口病 时空聚类分析 地理信息系统 

分 类 号：R512.57[医药卫生—内科学]