我国制造业劳动力工资波动研究——基于DSGE模型的分析  

Research on the wage fluctuation of labour force of China's manufacturing industry:Based on DSGE model

作　　者：许建伟 Xu Jianwei(School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

机构地区：[1]福建工程学院管理学院,福建福州350118

出　　处：《福建工程学院学报》2017年第4期404-408,共5页Journal of Fujian University of Technology

基　　金：福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAS170307);福建工程学院科研启动基金项目(GY-S17002)

摘　　要：关注我国制造业劳动力工资波动这一热点问题,构建一个封闭经济的一般动态均衡模型,重点分析总需求冲击和技术冲击对工资的动态效应。同时比较在不同的垄断程度下,我国制造业部门工资水平的脉冲反应。数值模拟的结果显示:一是总需求冲击使工资水平与可选择的工资水平出现了相反的变化趋势,对工资水平的效用为负,对可选择的工资的效用为正;二是生产率的提高使工资水平和可选择工资水平都出现了正向的波动;三是随着可选择工资的工人所占比例的上升,即工资粘性程度的下降,各种经济变量的变化幅度都有所降低;四是所有的冲击对经济变量的影响都是短期的,不具有长期效果。Focusing on the price fluctuation of labour force of manufacturing industries in China,a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium（DSGE） model in the closed economy is constructed to analyse the dynamic effects of overall demand and technical shocks on wages. The impulse responses of the wage levels of the sectors of manufacturing industries in China under different monopolies are also compared. Numerical simulation results indicate that the overall demand shock has caused the opposition of the wage level to the selected wage level,i. e. the effect on the wage level is negative while the effect on the selective wage is positive; that with the increase of productivity,both the wage level and the selective wage level have fluctuated in the positive way; that with the increase of the proportion of the workers who can select wage,i.e. the decline of wage aggregation,the change of various economical variants has declined; that the influences of the shocks on the economical variants are of short-term effect.

关 键 词：工资波动 DSGE模型 工资粘性 

分 类 号：F404[经济管理—产业经济]