林业有害生物防治信息管理系统中趋势预测功能的研发与应用  

Development and application of forecast function in the information management system of forest pest control

作　　者：董振辉[1] 徐钰[1] 崔东阳[1] 韩阳[1] DONG Zhenhui et al(General Station of Forest Pest Management, State Forestry Administration, Shenyang 110034, China)

机构地区：[1]国家林业局森林病虫害防治总站,辽宁沈阳110034

出　　处：《中国森林病虫》2017年第5期9-12,共4页Forest Pest and Disease

基　　金：国家生物安全关键技术研发专项"生物安全监测网络系统集成技术研究"(2016YFC1200700);林业公益性行业科研专项"全国林业生物灾害精细化预报及管理基础应用研究"(201404410)

摘　　要：笔者参与开发了全国林业有害生物防治信息管理系统中的趋势预测功能,系统基于林业有害生物发生数据,结合数理统计原理和计算机、网络、数据库、GIS空间技术,完成自动建模过程并对林业有害生物发生期、发生量、发生范围进行预测。该功能的实现,使用户能够方便快捷地完成对辖区林业有害生物的发生趋势预测。The author participated in the development of forecast function in the information management system of forest pest control in China. Based on the occurrence data of forest pests for many years,and combined with mathematical statistics principle,computer,network,database and GIS spatial analysis techniques,the system built the forecasting model automatically and predicted the occurrence period,occurrence amount and occurrence range of forest pests. This function will enable users to forecast the occurrence trend of forest pests in the area quickly and easily.

关 键 词：林业有害生物 防治 信息管理系统 趋势预测 

分 类 号：S763.305[农业科学—森林保护学]