未来中长期我国煤炭需求预测  

Long-term future prediction of China's coal demand

作　　者：刘畅[1] 孙超 

机构地区：[1]北京工业职业技术学院文法与管理学院,北京市石景山区100042 [2]国家安全生产监督管理总局信息研究院,北京市朝阳区100029

出　　处：《中国煤炭》2017年第10期5-9,20,共6页China Coal

摘　　要：系统总结了我国煤炭消费现状,分析了影响煤炭消费的因素,以大量详实的数据为基础,通过对用煤行业需求直接预测和煤炭需求总量间接预测,最终给出综合预测结果:2017年39.14亿t,2018年39.86亿t,2019年40.56亿t,2020年41.05亿t。This paper systematically summarized current situation of coal consumption in China, analyzed factors that affect coal consumption, and used a large number of detailed data to forecast the direct and indirect amount of coal demand, and finally gave the comprehensive forecast results. This paper systematically summarized current situation of coal consumption in China, analyzed factors that affect coal consumption, and used a large number of detailed data to forecast the direct and indirect amount of coal demand, and finally gave the comprehensive forecast results as followed： coal demand of the year of 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020 would be 3914 Mt, 3986 Mt, 4056 Mt and 4105 Mr, respectively.

关 键 词：煤炭需求现状 直接预测 间接预测 

分 类 号：TD-9[矿业工程]