京津冀地区物流发展水平与物流效率研究  

Research on Logistical Development Level and Logistical Efficiency in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

作　　者：陈吉铭 王琛[1] 何忠伟[1] 刘芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京农学院经济管理学院,北京102206

出　　处：《科技和产业》2017年第8期1-6,共6页Science Technology and Industry

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目(16CGL037);国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473019);国家自然科学基金面上项目(71373025);北京市奶牛创新团队(BAIC06-2017);北京农学院大北农青年教师科研基金(15SK001)

摘　　要：物流业的发展和进步对于地区经济协调发展具有重要作用。基于DEA分析方法对京津冀地区2005-2015年期间的物流效率进行测算,然后运用主成分分析法研究了京津冀物流发展水平,并在此基础上,实证分析京津冀物流发展水平对区域物流效率的影响,结果表明:2005-2015年期间,京津冀物流业综合技术效率平均值为0.987,处于较高的效率水平。全要素生产率年均下降3.6%,物流业发展质量有待提高;京津冀物流业发展水平呈逐年上升趋势,且增速较为稳定;京津冀物流效率与发展水平之间存在协整关系,物流发展水平的提升对物流效率的提高具有短期正向促进作用。The development and progress of the logistics industry plays an important role in the harmonious development of regional economy.ituses DEA analysis method to calculate logistical efficiency of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from the year of 2005 to 2015,and then uses principal component analysis method to evaluate logistical development level of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,based on empirical analysis,to analyze the impact of logistical development level on logistical efficiency of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.Results show：during the period of the year of 2005 to 2015,the average value of logistics comprehensive technical efficiency of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is 0.987,which is at a high level of efficiency.The total factor productivity decreased by 3.6%,the development quality ofthelogistics industry inBeijing-Tianjin-Hebei region needs to be improved;the development level of logistics industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is increasing year by year,and the growth rate is relatively stable;there is a cointegration relationship between the logistical efficiency and the level of logistical development in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,The improvement of logistical development has a positive effect on the improvement of logistical efficiency.

关 键 词：京津冀 物流发展水平 物流效率 DEA模型 主成分分析 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]