推进“一带一路”背景下产业结构调整之研究——以天津市为例  

A Research on the Adjustment of Urban Industrial Structure of Important Nodes under the Background of "One Belt and One Way"-Taking Node City Tianjin as an Example

作　　者：齐岳[1,2,3,4] 侯席培 冯筱瑢 张雨 

机构地区：[1]天津市中国特色社会主义理论体系研究中心南开大学基地,天津300071 [2]中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心,天津300071 [3]南开大学中国公司治理研究院,天津300071 [4]南开大学商学院,天津300071

出　　处：《科技和产业》2017年第9期1-8,69,共9页Science Technology and Industry

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(71132001);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(14JJD630007);南开大学亚洲研究中心(AS1525)

摘　　要：利用区位商法对天津市产业结构现状进行了研究,利用动态偏离份额模型对天津市主要行业及工业细分行业进行进一步剖析。研究发现:第二产业占比呈下降趋势,第三产业占比逐年增加并逐渐为天津市经济发展提供重要动力;住宿与餐饮业、金融业竞争优势较为突出,但交通、邮电与旅游业和建筑业竞争优势不明显。基于以上研究就如何实现产业结构调整提出建议:第一产业应注重生态化农业的发展;第二产业应坚持以智能化和绿色化为方向进行转型;第三产业通过完善金融体系、提高对外开放水平、完善物流体系等路径进行升级转型。This paper studies the status quo of the industrial structure of Tianjin by using the location quotient method in the background of the ＂one belt one way＂ strategy,and makes a further analysis of the major industries and industrial subdivision industries in Tianjin by using the dynamic shift-share model.The study shows that the proportion of the secondary industry is declining,and the proportion of the tertiary industry is increasing year by year and gradually provides important impetus for the economic development of Tianjin.The competitive advantage of accommodation and catering industry and financial industry is more prominent,but the competitive advantages of traffic,post and telecommunications and tourism and construction industry are not obvious.Based on the above research,this paper puts forward suggestions on how to achieve the adjustment of industrial structure：the primary industry should focus on the development of ecological agriculture;the secondary industry should adhere to the intelligent and green for the direction of transformation;the tertiary industry should upgrade the transformation by the improvement of the financial system,the level of opening up and the logistics system.

关 键 词：一带一路 产业结构 区位商 偏离份额模型 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]