地方财政支出对农村文化消费的动态影响  

The Research on the Dynamic Impact of Local Financial Expenditure on Rural Cultural Consumption

作　　者：宋英杰[1,2] 刘俊现 徐鑫 SONG Ying-jie LIU Jun-xian XU Xin(School of Public Economy and Management, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China School of Finance, Shandong Institute of Business and Technology, Yantai 264005, Shandong, China School of Economies, Shandong Institute of Business and Technology, Yantai 264005, Shandong, China)

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院,上海200433 [2]山东工商学院金融学院,山东烟台264005 [3]山东工商学院经济学院,山东烟台264005

出　　处：《消费经济》2017年第5期58-64,共7页Consumer Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71573161);山东省自然科学基金(ZR2015GL008);中国博士后科学基金(2016M600303)

摘　　要：以凯恩斯绝对收入假说为基础,结合国民收入决定理论及杜森贝利相对收入假说,构建地方财政支出对农村居民文化消费影响的动态模型。利用2007-2015年山东省17个地级市的面板数据,分析了生产性购买性和服务性购买支出对农村居民文化消费的影响,研究发现:(1)时间层面,地方财政生产性购买支出和服务性购买支出对农村居民文化消费均具有滞后效应;(2)地区层面,相对于发达城市,欠发达城市的生产性购买支出和服务性购买支出对农村居民文化消费的影响更显著,并据此提出了相关政策建议。Based on the Keynes＇s absolute income hypothesis, combined with national income decision theo- ry and Duesenberry＇s relative income hypothesis, this paper build a dynamic model of the impact of local fiscal expenditure on rural residents＇ cultural consumption. Using the panel data from 17 cities of shandong province from 2007 to 2015, applying the system of generalized moment estimation method to analyze the influences of productive purchase and service purchases on rural residents cultural consumption. The study found that： （1） On the time level, local fiscal productive expenditure and service purchase expenditure has lag effect on rural resi- dents＂ culture consumption; （2） On the regional level, compared to the developed cities, productive purchase ex- penditure and service purchase expenditure of less developed cities had more significant influences on rural resi- dents cultural consumption, and put forward relevant policy suggestions.

关 键 词：地方财政支出 农村文化消费 动态面板模型 

分 类 号：F810.7[经济管理—财政学]