OFDI提升我国装备制造业国际竞争优势的博弈分析  

The Analysis of Game Theory of OFDI Upgrading Equipment Manufacturing Industry's International Competitive Advantage

作　　者：刘震[1] 张宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学经济学院,济南250100

出　　处：《软科学》2017年第11期25-29,48,共6页Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(14BGJ043)

摘　　要：以无偏性假设为起点,构建完全信息静态博弈模型证明OFDI为装备制造业国际竞争优势升级的内生性因素;随后放松无偏性假设,即在有偏性假设下,分别构建完全信息的静态及动态博弈模型,对OFDI的内生性作用加以证明;最后放松完全信息假设,构建有偏性、不完全信息动态博弈模型,完成OFDI对我国装备制造业国际竞争优势提升的理论分析。结果显示:在一定假设条件下,中国装备制造业在国际竞争中选择OFDI,且快于竞争对手选择OFDI,可获取先动优势,提升其国际竞争优势。A static game model of complete information is built with an unbiased hypothesis to prove that OFDI is an endogenous factor to upgrade international competitive advantage of the equipment manufacturing industry. Then static and dynamic game model with complete information is built to prove the endogenous role of OFDI. Finally,a biased,incomplete information and dynamic game model is constructed to demonstrate OFDI＇s role of enhancing international competitive advantages of Chinese equipment manufacturing. The results show that under certain assumptions,OFDI can upgrade international competitive advantage of the equipment manufacturing industry. Chinese equipment manufacturing industry should select OFDI faster than competitors to obtain first-move advantage.

关 键 词：装备制造业 OFDI 国际竞争优势 不完全信息动态博弈 贝叶斯纳什均衡 

分 类 号：F224.32[经济管理—国民经济]