基于熵权可拓模型的土地利用规划环境影响评价——以黄河三角洲高效生态经济区为例  

Environmental Impact Assessment of Land Use Planning Based on Entropy Weight and Extension Model——A Case Study in Yellow River Delta Efficient Eco-economic Zone

作　　者：盛中华 董会忠[1] 殷秀清[1] 吴朋 张帅 

机构地区：[1]山东理工大学管理学院,山东淄博255012

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2017年第12期1432-1437,共6页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"区域复合生态经济系统耦合效应与政策调控研究--以黄河三角洲高效生态经济区为例"(编号:71371112);山东省自然科学基金项目"山东半岛蓝色经济区环境经济复合系统仿真与预警机制研究"(编号:ZR2012GM020)

摘　　要：土地利用规划环境影响评价对配置土地资源起到显著的优化作用,可为新一轮的土地利用规划修编提供科学基础。针对黄河三角洲高效生态经济区土地开发与利用状况,运用DPSIR(Driving-Pressure-State-Impact-Response)模型构建土地利用规划环境影响评价指标体系,结合熵权法和可拓学理论构建土地利用规划环境影响评价模型,分析自规划实施以来(2006—2015年)该区域土地利用与环境质量的变化过程。基于分析结果,对该地区规划目标年(2020年)的土地利用程度和环境质量水平进行了预测。结果表明:自新一轮土地利用规划实施以来,黄河三角洲高效生态经济区的自然环境质量整体上呈正向发展趋势,但人均水资源量、人均耕地面积、人均工业废气排放量等指标是影响该地区环境质量进一步改善的主要短板因素。EIA of land use planning that was conducive to optimize the allocation of land resources,which could provide the scientific research base for integrated a new round of land use planning. According to the land development and utilization extent of Yellow River Delta Efficient Eco-economic Zone based on DPSIR( Driving-Pressure-State-Impact-Response) model,this paper established EIA index system of land use planning and EIA of land use planning model with entropy-weighted extension and matter-element theory to analyze the process of land use and environmental quality change since the implementation of this round land use planning( 2006-2015). Finally,EIA of land use planning of this area carried on,and the predictions of data in target planning year( 2020). The results indicated that since the implementation of new round land use planning,there was an overall improvement in the natural environmental quality in Yellow River Delta Efficient Eco-economic Zone. However,the main short board factors like amount of water resources per capita,arable land per capita,industrial waste gas emissions per capita,affected the quality of the environment to further improve.

关 键 词：土地利用规划 熵权可拓模型 环境影响评价 黄河三角洲 

分 类 号：F301.2[经济管理—产业经济]