贸易自由化与FDI区位选择——来自“一带一路”沿线国家的经验证据  

Trade Liberalization and Location Choice of FDI——Evidence from the Countries Along“One Belt and One Road”

作　　者：吴新生[1] 梁琦[1] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学管理学院,广东广州510275

出　　处：《东北大学学报（社会科学版）》2017年第6期571-579,586,共10页Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大资助项目(13&ZD166);国家自然科学基金资助项目(71273285);教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助项目(20130171110043);中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(17WKJC02)

摘　　要：采用2005―2013年"一带一路"沿线39个国家的投资空间面板数据对影响FDI区位分布的影响因素进行了经验分析。研究发现,"一带一路"沿线国家的投资活动存在显著的"第三方效应",呈现出空间集聚特征;以欧盟和中国-东盟自由贸易区为代表的区域经济一体化促进了贸易自由化,同时产生了不同类型的投资转移效应;市场规模对FDI的区位选择有显著的正向作用,并存在本地市场效应;FDI倾向于流向市场规模大、开放程度高、基础设施完善、政治稳定和法制环境较好的国家,FDI自身也具有显著的动态特征;FDI区位选择表现出资源寻求动机,但以降低生产成本为目的效率寻求动机并不存在;人力资本水平对FDI吸收的促进作用不明显,同时存在一定的滞后性;资源高丰度和资本要素充裕的国家都产生了一定程度的FDI挤出效应;FDI的区位选择模式及影响因素存在显著的国家类型和一体化组织模式差异。An empirical analysis was given by adopting the spatial panel data of2005-2013 in 39 countries along'One Belt and One Road'.It was found that there exist the third-country effects characterized by spatial agglomeration.The regional economic integration represented by the EU and China-ASEAN free trade areas promotes trade liberalization and produces varied investment transfer effects.Market size has a significant positive effect on the location choice of FDI,and there is home market effect as well.FDI tends to flow to the country with a large market scale,high degree of openness,excellent infrastructure,political stability and better legal environment,and FDI itself has a significant dynamic characteristics.FDI's location choice displays resource-seeking motivation,but the purpose of reducing production costs does not exist.The promotion of human capital level to FDI absorption is not obvious,and there is a time lag.Countries with rich resources and capital have a crowding out effect of FDI.The location choice model of FDI and its influential factors are quite different among countries and regions.

关 键 词：“一带一路”战略 自由贸易协定 制度环境 FDI区位选择 

分 类 号：F831.6[经济管理—金融学] F064.1