要素替代、技术进步与中国制造业比较优势动态化  

Factor Substitution,Technical Progress and Dynamic Comparative Advantage in China's Manufacturing Industry Sector

作　　者：郑猛[1] 杨先明[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所,北京100007 [2]云南大学发展研究院,云南昆明650091

出　　处：《贵州财经大学学报》2017年第6期1-18,共18页Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2016M600161);国家自然科学基金项目(71362026)

摘　　要：将中国制造业比较优势动态化与要素替代和技术进步联系起来,以探析要素替代增长效应的内在传导机制。选取2001—2014年中国制造业29个行业为研究样本,通过理论分析及实证检验,研究结论表明:要素替代弹性的提高通过加快资本积累速度实现比较优势动态化的转变;自主创新和技术模仿型技术进步是实现比较优势动态转变的两条有效途径;自主创新和技术模仿型技术进步对比较优势动态化的边际效应存在相互替代。上述结论在考虑内生性、稳健性问题后依然可靠。因此,未来中国制造业应重点关注要素替代的资本积累效应以及提高技术进步向生产率转化程度,通过进一步优化要素资源配置以及选择适宜技术进步路径更快实现比较优势动态化转变。This paper links the dynamic comparative advantage in china＇ s manufacturing industry sector with capital - labor factor substitution and technical progress to explain the transmission mechanism of factor substitution growth effect. In view of this, we take 29 manufacturing industry sectors in China from 2001 to 2014 as an example and get the following conclusions after theoretical derivation and empirical survey. Firstly, the improvement of factor elasticity of substitution can realize dynamic comparative advantage changes by accelerating capital accumulation. Secondly, both innovation and imitation technology progress can make the transformation of dynamic comparative advantages. Thirdly, the above two kinds of technological progress are replace each other for the marginal effect of dynamic comparative advantage. The conclusion are still reliable after considering endogenous and robustness. Therefore, we should focus on the capital accumulation effect of factor substitution and improve the change of technological progress to productivity in the future. On this basis we should optimize the resources distribution of factors and select appropriate technology progress path to realize dynamic compara- tive advantage changes.

关 键 词：资本-劳动要素替代 技术进步 中国制造业 比较优势动态化 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]