海域环境承载力评价模型研究——以胶州湾为例  

A research on evaluation model of marine environment bearing capacity: a case study in Jiaozhou Bay

作　　者：张茜[1] 王淼[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《中国渔业经济》2017年第4期83-87,共5页Chinese Fisheries Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目"基于国家海洋功能区划的海域基准价格评估理论与应用研究"(编号12AZD105);国家自然科学基金项目"海洋资源性资产产权效率测度与优化方法研究"(编号70873114)资助

摘　　要：根据DPSIR概念模型,通过德尔菲法和问卷调查法建立了包括驱动力因素、压力因素、状态因素、影响因素和响应因素5个一级指标及对应的16个二级指标,采用AHP法和模糊综合评价法计算出了两级指标的权重并构建了海域环境承载力评价模型,研究结果表明,模型中驱动力和状态因素占权重较高,响应次之。以胶州湾海域环境承载力评价研究为例,模型分析得出其环境承载力隶属度为良,未能达到优化状态,还需要通过有效发展新型产业,大力发展旅游和运输业,提高资源利用率,减少污染排放等措施进行改进。Based on the DPSIR conceptual model, indicator system which is divided into five first class indexes and the second index of sixteen is established via Delphi and questionnaires, and then using AHP method right and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to calculate the two-stage target weight bearing capacity of the marine environment and build the evaluation model of marine environment bearing capacity. The research suggests that the driving force and the state factors account for a higher weight than response. In addition, the study of Jiaozhou Bay sea environmental bearing capacity as the example of this model shows that the environmental bearing capacity of membership in Jiaozhou Bay is good, and also needs to improve through the development of new industries, the tourism and transport industry, resourcing utilization and pollution emissions.

关 键 词：海域环境 承载力 指标权重 模糊评价 

分 类 号：F326.403[经济管理—产业经济]