日菲在南海问题上的互动与中国的应对  

The Interaction between Japan and Philippines in the South China Sea and China's Response

作　　者：谢茜 张军平[3] 

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学马克思主义学院 [2]上海海事大学国家领土主权与海洋权益协同创新中心,上海200135 [3]日本广岛大学社会科学研究科法政系,日本广岛739-0041

出　　处：《边界与海洋研究》2017年第3期96-106,共11页Journal of Boundary and Ocean Studies

基　　金：国家社科基金一般项目“马克思恩格斯的海权理论与海洋强国建设研究”(编号:14BKS006)阶段性成果

摘　　要：日本借南海仲裁之机加强与菲律宾的海上安全互动,在范围及力度上都远超历史水平,高层交流频繁、海上防卫能力提升、战略性援助增多等均是表现。然而,日本与菲律宾在南海问题上的总体战略目标并不完全一致,日本坚持以南海联动东海给中国造成全面的海上安全压力,菲律宾则在坚守本国海洋利益的同时游走于各大国之间。影响日本和菲律宾在南海问题上互动的变量,主要是两国国内的政治决策核心更迭、社会反对力量地位提升以及大国的南海政策变化等。在国内外变量的共同作用下,日本与菲律宾决策层对太平洋地区未来秩序的评估不尽相同。日本与菲律宾的海上互动背后暗含战略分歧,并最终导致两国在南海的具体行为模式差异。两国今后的海上互动能进行到何种程度,主要取决于中国的应对。The South China Sea aroused a worldwide attention of maritime security in Pacific-Asia. Japan and Philippines strengthen maritime security cooperation inorder to limit china. Frequently offical visiting,maritime defense promoting and ODA numbers increasing explain what is going on in this area. It seems that Japan and Philippines have a smooth communication. However,diverse maritime security patterns in two countries are doomed. Differentation strategies and various security predicts of the region lead to diversified choices. To pressure china by colligating the south and the east china sea disputes together is the main purpose of Japan. To gain benefit maximization is the first target of Philippines. Under the influences of the variates in these countries, including leadership alternating, opposition facions increaing,super power impacting,Regional Maritime Order in south china sea is changeable. How china response will shape the basic framework in south china sea.

关 键 词：南海仲裁 制衡模式 对冲模式 海洋秩序 

分 类 号：D823[政治法律—政治学]