基于概率影响图的空战能力评估模型  

Evaluation Model of Air Combat Capability Based on Probability Influence Diagram

作　　者：许建锐 李战武[1] 欧建军[1] 徐安[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学航空航天工程学院,西安710038

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2017年第11期86-90,96,共6页Fire Control & Command Control

摘　　要：基于空战指标间复杂的影响关系,引入概率影响图,并结合指标间重要程度的比较对飞机空战能力进行客观评估。利用空战信息流图,依据作战结果计算能力指标值与发生概率,构建空战模型的概率影响图;定性分析能力指标间的影响关系,定量计算综合影响权重;综合考虑比较权和影响权,计算空战能力值。结果证明,影响关系在空战能力评估中占有很大比重。Based on the complex relationship between the air combat indexes,the probability influence diagram is introduced, and the objective evaluation of the air combat capability is carried out according to the important degree of the indexes. First, the air combat information flow chart, according to the operational result calculation ability index value and the probability construct probabilistic influence diagram of air combat model; secondly ,the qualitative analysis of the influence relationship capability indexes. The quantitative calculation of comprehensive influence weight; finally, considering the relatively right and shadow ring in calculated air combat capability values. The results show that the impact of the relationship in the air combat capability assessment occupies a large proportion.

关 键 词：概率影响图 空战能力评估 能力指标 

分 类 号：E844[军事—战术学]