西安市公共自行车选择概率模型研究  

Probabilistic Model for Choice of Public Bicycle in Xi'an

作　　者：曾丽莹 陈嫣蕊 

机构地区：[1]长安大学公路学院,陕西西安710054

出　　处：《洛阳理工学院学报（自然科学版）》2017年第4期19-23,共5页Journal of Luoyang Institute of Science and Technology：Natural Science Edition

摘　　要：城市公共自行车是公共交通的重要组成部分,为探究西安市公共自行车投入后对西安市居民出行方式的影响,本文通过对西安市雁塔区发放调查问卷的方式收集居民出行数据,利用非集计交通方式划分的方法建立公共自行车选择概率模型;从居民的个人属性和交通属性的角度出发,对交通方式选择行为进行分析,得到了未来西安市居民出行公共自行车的划分率,并对西安未来公共自行车的发展提出建议。City public bicycle is an important part of public transport. In order to study the influence of the using oi the city pubhc bicy- cle in Xi＇an for four years on the way to travel, the questionnaire is used to collect the data. The probabilistic model of the public bicy- cle is built by the disaggregate analysis method. In addition, the choice of the public transport is analyzed through the personal features and the traffic properties. The results show that separation of the Xi＇an city public bicycle in the future and give the suggestion for the development of the public bicycle.

关 键 词：二项logistic模型 交通方式划分 公共自行车 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]