我国产业关联网络的结构特征研究——基于2002～2012年投入产出表  

Research on the Structural Characteristics of Industrial Linkage Network in China——Based on the Input-Output Table from 2002 to 2012

作　　者：方大春[1] 王海晨[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽工业大学,安徽马鞍山243032

出　　处：《当代经济管理》2017年第11期71-78,共8页Contemporary Economic Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(11CJL001);安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题(2016CX010)

摘　　要：基于2002年、2007年以及2012年42部门投入产出表,对我国产业结构关联性进行研究,同时引入社会网络分析方法,分析产业关联网络的结构特征。研究发现:我国大部分产业部门影响力系数大于1,但呈现减少趋势;大部分部门产业感应度系数小于1,但呈现增加趋势;产业部门之间联动发展效果呈现好的趋势;石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业,化学工业,金属冶炼及压延加工业,仪器仪表及文化办公用机械制造业等原材料工业影响力系数与感应度系数一直大于1,在产业关联结构中属于主导产业范畴。产业间网络密度呈现出逐年增加且增幅放缓的趋势;近10多年来,拉动经济发展产业部门在变迁,制造业相较于生产性服务业具有更强的中间投入作用,并在国民经济的发展中承担着桥梁的作用,但金融保险业已成为控制能力最强的产业部门;产业网络中存在明显的凝聚子群。针对我国产业关联网络结构特征,提出相关政策建议。Based on the input-output table of 42 sectors in 2002, 2007 and 2012, this paper studies the relevance of industrial structure in China,and at the same time introduces the social network analysis method to analyze the structural characteristics of industrial association network. The results show that the influence coefficient of most industrial sectors in China is greater than 1, but the trend is decreasing; most of the industrial sectors' sensitivity coefficient is less than 1, while the trend is increasing; The linkage between the industries shows a good trend; influence coeffi-cient and the sensitivity coefficient of oil processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing industry, chemical industry, metal smelting and rolling pro-cessing industry, instrumentation and cultural office machinery manufacturing industry and other raw materials industry have been greater than 1,and these industries belong to the leading industry category in the industrial linkage network. The density of the inter-industry network shows a trend of increasing year by year, but the growth rate gradually slows down. The results also show that in the past 10 years, the industrial sectors have been changing in the process of stimulating economic development, and that the manufacturing industry has a stronger intermediate effect than the productive service industry, and has assumed the role of the bridge in the development of national economy, and that the financial and insur-ance industry has become the strongest control between the industrial sectors. The results also show that there are clearly cohesive subgroups in in-dustrial network. In the end, in view of the structural characteristics of industrial linkage network, this paper puts forward some relevant policy rec-ommendations.

关 键 词：产业结构 关联网络 投入产出分析 社会网络分析 

分 类 号：F269.2[经济管理—国民经济]