中国省域生态治理绩效评价研究  

Performance Evaluation of China's Provincial Ecological Management

作　　者：韩永辉 

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院 [2]广东外语外贸大学粤商研究中心

出　　处：《统计研究》2017年第11期69-78,共10页Statistical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目"中国产业政策的实施效果和作用机制研究:基于供给增长和供给结构的视角"(71603060);教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目"中国产业政策推动供给侧变迁研究:基于发展型地方政府的理论分析与实证检验"(16YJC790023);2016年度全国统计科学研究项目"中国产业政策的定量评估及其经济效应研究"(2016LY91)资助

摘　　要：本文立足生态效率视角,建立基于Bootstrap-DEA模型的生态治理绩效评价指标体系,分析我国省域面板生态效率的动态趋势、指数排名及其变化,采用σ收敛模型检验其时空演进的收敛性质。结果显示:Bootstrap-DEA生态效率值和传统DEA效率值并不相等,传统DEA测算值存在一定高估偏误且偏差随省份的不同而各异;2000—2014年,东部、中部、西部和东北部地区的生态效率都有一定程度提升,但相较东部和中部,西部和东北部地区生态效率提升幅度更大;2014年生态效率较高的省区集中在东部和东北地区,中部和西部地区相对靠后;σ收敛检验显示全国生态效率的省际差距在缩小,东部和中部地区生态效率差距呈现台阶式下降的"L型"收敛过程,西部和东北部地区则呈现出先收敛后发散的"U型"过程。Based on the perspective of ecological efficiency, a performance evaluation index system of ecological management is constructed by applying provincial panel data to analyze dynamic trend, index ranking and its changes. Besides, σ convergence model is adopted to test the convergence property of its space-temporal evolution. The results show that value of ecological efficiency by means of Bootstrap-DEA and traditional DEA is not equal. There is a certain bias in overestimating the error and the deviation varies among provinces. Compared with the eastern and central regions, ecological efficiency of western and northeast regions improves more, although eco-efficiency of all regions promote to a certain degree from 2000 to 2014. In 2014, eco- efficiency of provinces in eastern and northeast regions is higher than central and eastern regions, cr convergence test shows that disparity of eco-efficiency between provinces narrow. Disparity of eco-efficiency between eastern and central regions declines with a characteristics of step and shows an ＂L-shape＂ convergence process, while the disparity between western and northeast convergence first and divergence later, which shows a ＂U-shape＂ proces.

关 键 词：生态治理 生态效率 Bootstrap-DEA模型 区域测评 

分 类 号：C812[社会学—统计学]