2014～2015年杭州市入室盗窃犯罪时空分布分析  

Spatio-temporal Distribution Analysis of Burglary Crime in Hangzhou During 2014～2015

作　　者：陈曼 吴曙雯[2] 闫嘉琪 徐俊锋[1,3] 谢斌 

机构地区：[1]杭州师范大学理学院,浙江杭州311121 [2]浙江警察学院,浙江杭州310053 [3]浙江省城市湿地与区域变化研究重点实验室,浙江杭州311121

出　　处：《地理空间信息》2017年第12期63-66,75,共5页Geospatial Information

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(41401517);浙江省公益技术研究社会发展项目(2015C33223)

摘　　要：基于2014年1月至2015年6月的入室盗窃案件资料,分析了杭州市八区入室盗窃犯罪的犯罪率、犯罪密度以及时间、空间分布规律。结果表明,若以时间为依据,以周内变化分析,周一至周五犯罪案件数趋于平稳,周六周日则有所下降;以月份变化分析,2月份犯罪案件数最低,5月份犯罪案件数最高。以空间为依据,则全区核密度热点主要分布在下城区石桥街道、拱墅区大关街道、西湖区翠苑街道以及萧山区城厢街道;局部热点区域通过实地验证发现入室盗窃主要受人流量、房屋类型和门禁防盗系统等因素影响较大。Based on the burglary crime data from January 2014 to June 2015, the crime rate, crime density as well as spatio-temporal distribution of burglary crime in eight districts of Hangzhou were analyzed. Time course studies show that, the number of criminal cases tends to be stable from Monday to Friday, but decreases in Saturday and Sunday. The smallest number of criminal cases is in February, while the largest number of criminal cases is in May. The kernel density hot spots are mainly distributed in Shiqiao Community in Xiacheng District, Daguan Community in Gongshu District, Cuiyuan Community in Xihu District and Chengxiang Community in Xiaoshan District. The field validation finds that the burglary crime is mainly affected by the flow of people, housing type and entrance guard system.

关 键 词：GIS 入室盗窃 时空分布 核密度估计 

分 类 号：P208[天文地球—地图制图学与地理信息工程]