海上丝绸之路沿线港口体系的空间布局演化  

Evolution of spatial pattern of port system along Maritime Silk Road

作　　者：赵旭[1] 梁雪娇 周巧琳 赵媛[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,辽宁大连116026

出　　处：《上海海事大学学报》2017年第4期43-48,共6页Journal of Shanghai Maritime University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(12BGJ008);交通运输部软科学研究项目(2015332225470);教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(13JZDH040)

摘　　要：为研究海上丝绸之路沿线港口体系空间布局的演化机理,基于集散性分析理论和可视化分析软件深入分析长时间序列下海上丝绸之路沿线港口体系集散趋势变化。结果表明:1979—2015年沿线港口体系经历了"分散—集聚—分散"的集散趋势演化过程和"两极主导—东亚-东南亚主导—中国主导"的空间布局演化过程,并合理地预测未来一段时间内将维持"分散"趋势和"中国主导"的空间布局。To study the evolution mechanism of the spatial pattern of the port system along the Maritime Silk Road,the distribution trend change of the port system along the Maritime Silk Road with a long time series is analyzed based on the theory of distributed analysis and the visualization analysis software. The results show that: the distributed trend evolution process of the port system in 1979-2015 is"decentralization-agglomeration-decentralization",and the spatial pattern evolution process is "bipolar-dominance-East and Southeast Asia-dominance-China-dominance". It is predicted reasonably that the "decentralization"trend and "China-dominance"spatial pattern will be maintained for some time in the future.

关 键 词：港口体系 空间布局 演化 集散性分析 海上丝绸之路 

分 类 号：F551[经济管理—产业经济]