雄安新区生态安全现状及远期预测研究  

Research on Ecosystem Security of Xiong'an New Area's Present Situation and Future Prediction

作　　者：李璐[1] 王刚[1] 刘珉[2] Li Lu;Wang Gang;Liu Min(School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083;China National Forestry Economics and Development Research Center, Beijing 100714)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [2]国家林业局经济发展研究中心,北京100714

出　　处：《林业经济》2017年第12期11-17,共7页Forestry Economics

基　　金：2015年国家林业局林业重大问题调研项目"京津冀一体化生态安全战略研究"(编号:ZDWT-2015-15)

摘　　要：雄安新区被定位为国家"千年大计",习近平总书记强调其建设和发展要坚持生态优先、绿色发展。利用生态足迹模型计算雄安新区生态承载情况,结果显示,2011~2015年雄安新区整体上处于生态赤字状态,但是整体上生态安全状况要优于河北省。根据雄安新区规划,参考深圳特区发展现状,预测到2030年雄安新区生态赤字呈现不断扩大状态。为落实习总书记生态优先、绿色发展的指示,提出以下政策建议:统筹规划,绿色先行;加大林业投入,强化林业规划;严格控制迁入的企事业单位;发展循环经济,控制过量消耗。Xiong’an New Area has been designated as a national＂Millennium Project＂. General Secretary Xi Jinping stressed that Xiong’an New Area’s construction and development should adhere to ecological priority and green development.Using ecological footprint model to evaluate ecological security of Xiong’an New Area,the result showed that from 2011 to 2015, Xiong’an New Area was in a state of ecological deficit,but its ecological security was better than that of Hebei Province.According to the plan of Xiong’an New Area, this paper refered to the development of Shenzhen Special Economic Zone and predicted that the ecological deficit of Xiong’an New Area would be enlarged in 2030.In order to carry out General Secretary Xi’s instruction of ecological priority and green development, such policy recommendations were put forward：overall planning and green first; increasing forestry investment and strengthening forestry planning; strictly controlling the enterprises and institutions that would move in Xiong’an New Area; developing circular economy and controlling excessive consumption.

关 键 词：雄安新区 生态安全 生态足迹 生态承载力 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]