中国产业安全的逻辑和路径研究——基于反倾销与产业升级的协同演化  

Research on Logic and Path of China Industrial Security-based on the Co-evolution of Anti-dumping and Industrial Upgrading

作　　者：周灏 

机构地区：[1]武汉纺织大学经济学院

出　　处：《社会科学》2018年第1期29-36,共8页Journal of Social Sciences

基　　金：作者主持的国家社会科学基金重点项目"反倾销;产业升级协同演化下的中国产业安全研究"(项目编号:14AGJ014)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：中国是世界反倾销的最大受害国,长期面临反倾销的严峻形势。反倾销和产业升级对产业安全的累积影响主要取决于反倾销的情况。反倾销与产业升级的协同演化较为复杂,协同演化的状况对产业安全的结果产生很大影响,存在4种不同影响路径以及不同的影响结果,仅一种路径能实现产业安全的提升。为了提升反倾销威胁下的中国产业安全水平,需要采取"促进产业升级→抑制反倾销→促进产业安全"的总策略;且充分考虑协同演化复杂性,避免陷入"激发反倾销"的环节;在产业升级能有效抑制反倾销的阶段,需由被动升级逐渐变为主动升级;必要时需动用国家力量维护产业安全。China is the world＇s largest victims of anti--dumping, and faces the grim situation of anti--dumping in long--term. The cumulative impact of anti--dumping and industrial upgra- ding on industrial security depends mainly on the situation of anti--dumping. The co--evolution of anti--dumping and industrial upgrading is more complicated and the situation co--evolution has a great impact on the results of industrial security. There are four different paths and different effects, only one kind of path can realize the improvement of industrial safety. In order to en- hance the level of China＇s industrial security under the threat of anti--dumping, it is necessary to adopt the general strategy of ＂promoting industrial upgrading →suppressing anti--dumping→ pro- moting industrial safety＂; and taking full account of the complexity of collaborative evolution, to avoid falling into the stage of triggering anti--dumping; in the stage where the industrial upgrading can effectively retain anti--dumping, need to gradually become form passive upgrade to active upgrade; if necessary, need to use national power to maintain industrial safety.

关 键 词：反倾销 产业安全 协同演化 逻辑模型 路径模型 

分 类 号：F260[经济管理—国民经济]