印度能否赶超中国  

Can India Overtake China

作　　者：郑永年[1] 

机构地区：[1]新加坡国立大学东亚研究所

出　　处：《全球化》2017年第12期18-24,共7页Globalization

摘　　要：印度的特殊政治经济文化混合,成了阻碍国家现代化的制度顽疾。印度很难形成东亚经济体的地方发展型政府,很难再步东亚经济体的后尘实施赶超战略。现在印度莫迪政府"对外开放"的动力非常强大,也在千方百计地进行内部的"解放运动",即废除种姓制度。我们没有任何理由忽视印度,倒是有千万个理由去关注印度的崛起及其对中国的影响;否则就会犯巨大的错误。中国已经是印度的第一大贸易伙伴,中印两国如能真正实现硬件与软件的合作,形成优势互补,就能在国际竞争中为金砖国家发出更多的声音。The special political,economic and cultural mixture in India has become a stubborn system disease that hinders the modernization of the country.It is very difficult for India to form a local development government of East Asian economies,and follow East Asian economies to carry out the catching up strategy.The current Modie government in India has a strong motivation to pursue its"opening to the outside world",and carry out its internal"liberation movement",of abolishing the caste system.We have no reason to ignore India,but there are tens of millions of reasons to pay attention to the rise of India and its impact on China;otherwise,we will make great mistakes.China is already the largest trading partner of India.If China and India can really reach cooperation with hardware and software and form complementary advantages,they can make a higher voice for BRICs in international competition.

关 键 词：中印经济 买办文化 地方割据 家族政治 中印关系 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] F135.1