2017年我国雾霾污染空间效应及未来治理策略分析  

Spatial Effect of Haze Pollution in China in 2017 and Analysis of Future Governance Strategies

作　　者：范丹 梁佩凤 王维国 

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学经济学院,经济计量分析与预测研究中心,大连116025

出　　处：《科技促进发展》2017年第11期932-939,共8页Science & Technology for Development

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(编号:15ZDA011):新常态下我国宏观经济监测和预测研究,负责人:陈磊;国家自然科学基金面上项目(编号:71773012):省际能源消费的变系数非参空间面板数据模型研究,负责人:王维国;国家自然科学基金青年项目(编号:71603042):绿色技术创新视阈下我国环境污染的空间效应及差异化环境规制路径研究”,负责人:范丹;辽宁省教育科学“十三五”规划项目(编号:JG16DB114):低碳视角下辽宁省高等学校节能减排体系构建及管理对策研究,负责人:范丹;东北财经大学2017校级科研一般项目(编号:DUFE2017Y12):地理溢出视角下我国雾霾污染的时空演化及治理策略研究,负责人:范丹

摘　　要：2017年在我国各项经济指标稳中求进的层面下,捍卫"蓝天白云"的环保运动也愈演愈烈。本研究通过梳理和分析2017年我国雾霾污染演变时空分异特征,结合宏观经济运行数据,深入剖析我国雾霾污染的空间效应及未来治理策略的选择。研究发现2017年我国PM2.5浓度存在显著的高聚集区特征,主要分布在京津冀与长三角两大经济体相连的中部地区。由于雾霾污染存在显著空间溢出效应,依靠区域内产业迁移带来短期效果并不能根治雾霾。经济新常态下我国仍处于雾霾污染的EKC曲线的上升阶段,追求经济发展而导致环境污染的时代仍未结束,尽管工业企业对雾霾污染的贡献程度有所下降,但技术创新投资和环保投资并未起到应有的降霾作用。因此,依靠区域内产业结构整体"绿色化"、能源结构"清洁化"以及全方位环境经济政策是未来根治雾霾的有效策略。In 2007, the environmental movements defending the ＂blue sky and white clouds＂ are gradually intense with the purpose that the China＇s economic indicators can increase stably. In this study, using the macroeconomic operation data,we analyze the temporal and spatial characteristics of haze pollution evolution of China and in-depth analyze the spatial effect of China s haze pollution and offer some feasible policy suggestion to the government to optimized the environment. The results show that there are significant characteristics of high concentration of PM2.5 in 2017, which is mainly distributed in the central region of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Yangtze River Delta. There is a significant spatial spillover effect in haze pollution, that is reason that relying on regional industrial migration to bring short-term effects can not cure haze pollution. Under the economic new normal, China is still in the rising stage of the haze pollution EKC curve,and the era of economic development and environmental pollution has not yet ended. The impact of industrial enterprises on the haze pollution has declined, but the technological innovation investment and the environmental protection investment does not work well to reduce the concentration of the haze. Therefore, relying on the overall＂green＂structure of the industrial structure, the＂clean＂energy structure and the all-round environmental economic policy in the region are effective strategies for haze in the future.

关 键 词：雾霾污染 空间集聚效应 空间溢出效应 治理策略 

分 类 号：X513[环境科学与工程—环境工程]