“中等收入陷阱”的理论成因与政策启示——基于扩展的Solow模型的视角  

Interpretation of the Middle Income Trap:Theoretical Causes and Policy Implications——Based on the Extended Solow Growth Model

作　　者：岳文 赵静燕 

机构地区：[1]江南大学商学院

出　　处：《南大商学评论》2017年第3期29-45,共17页Nanjing Business Review

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(项目编号:JUSRP11762)

摘　　要：当前,面对经济增速放缓已经进入中等收入阶段的中国是否会陷入＂中等收入陷阱＂引起了大家的广泛关注。本文通过在新结构经济学的框架下对Solow模型进行扩展,为分析＂中等收入陷阱＂的成因提供了一个理论框架：基础设置跟不上产业升级和经济进一步发展的需求是＂中等收入陷阱＂产生的根本原因。由此得到的政策启示是：一方面,从发展战略的高度,发展中国家政府应当通过采用遵循比较优势的发展战略实现资本的快速积累,用以对公共领域进行投资来改善硬性基础设置;另一方面,也应当注重相关制度、规制的改革与建设,适时地改善软性基础设施,让其更好地服务于产业升级和经济发展的需求。本文的研究不仅丰富了现有的经济增长理论,更为中国乃至广大发展中国家越过＂中等收入陷阱＂提供了有益的政策启示。China has entered the stage of middle income now,whether China would be in danger of ＂middle-income trap＂ has drawn wide attention. This paper extends the Solow growth model under the framework of new structural economics,and provides a theoretical framework for analyzing the ＂middle-income trap＂comprehensively. The fundamental reason why ＂middle-income trap＂ appears is that basic settings can＇t keep up with the demand of industrial upgrading and economic development. The resulting policy implications are： through using the development strategy of following comparative advantages to achieve the rapid accumulation of capital, and investing heavily in public areas in order to improve basic settings and make it better serve the industrial upgrading and economic development, this is the effective way that developing countries avoid ＂middle-income trap＂. Further, the comparative analysis between Four Asian Tigers and Latin America countries to a certain extent provide experience support for our conclusion This study not only enriches the existing theories of economic growth, but also provides an important reference guide for China and other developing countries stepping over the ＂middle-income trap＂.

关 键 词：SOLOW模型 中等收入陷阱 新结构经济学 基础设置 

分 类 号：F124.7[经济管理—世界经济]