生猪价格波动的居民消费效应——来自2000-2015年省际面板数据的经验证据  

Research on the Residents' Consumption Effect of Hog Price Volatility——Empirical Evidence from 2000-2015 Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：张敏[1] 刘凤根[2] 周驭舰 

机构地区：[1]湖南商学院经济与贸易学院 [2]湖南商学院财政金融学院,湖南长沙410205

出　　处：《消费经济》2017年第6期62-67,73,共7页Consumer Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(11BJY117)

摘　　要：本文运用静态面板模型和动态面板模型实证分析了生猪价格波动对城镇居民和农村居民消费支出的影响。结果显示,当期的生猪价格波动对城镇居民的消费影响不显著,但对农村居民的当期影响比较显著;滞后一期的生猪价格波动对城镇居民和农村居民消费的影响都较为显著,且随着滞后期数的增加,生猪价格波动对农村居民消费的影响增加。Using static panel model and dynamic panel model, this paper empirically analyzes the influence of the hog price volatility on per capita consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents. The result shows, hog price volatility has no significant effect on the consumption of urban residents in the current period, however, the impact on the consumption of rural residents is more significant. In the lag period, the impact of the hog price volatility on the consumption of urban and rural residents is more significant, and the impact on the rural residents is greater with the larger number of lag period.

关 键 词：生猪价格波动 消费效应 GMM估计 

分 类 号：F326.3[经济管理—产业经济]