面向2030世界高等教育发展的主要趋势与战略选择  

Development of World Higher Education towards 2030:Key Trends and Strategies Choices

作　　者：别敦荣[1,2] 易梦春 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学高等教育发展研究中心 [2]厦门大学教育研究院,副院长教授福建厦门361005 [3]两岸关系和平发展协同创新中心,厦门大学台湾研究院,博士研究生福建厦门361005

出　　处：《中国高教研究》2018年第1期57-63,共7页China Higher Education Research

摘　　要：新世纪以来,世界高等教育普及化进程进一步加快,高等教育与经济社会发展的关系日益紧密,与此同时,区域间高等教育发展差异扩大。面向2030,世界高等教育毛入学率均值将可能突破50%,主要高等教育发达国家(地区)在学规模增长可能放缓,除中国、印度等少数国家以外的主要高等教育发展中国家(地区)将仍处于高等教育大众化阶段,高等教育欠发达国家(地区)难有大的突破。为实现"教育2030"的愿景,世界高等教育发展的战略选择包括进一步扩大高等教育的包容性,发展基于公平与优质的高等教育体系,探索更有效的终身教育模式,加强高等教育国际合作与援助等。Since the beginning of the new century, the progress of higher education popularization in the world has been accelerating, and the relationship between higher education and economic society development has been getting much closer; but meanwhile, the gap among different regions in higher education development has been widening. Towards 2030, the gross enrollment ratio of world higher education will probably reach 50%, the higher education enrollment growth of main higher education developed countries will probably slow down; most higher education developing countries will stay in the phase of mass higher education, except for a few holdout nations, such as China and India; and the higher education less developed countries will be difficult to get real breakthroughs. In order to realize the vision of ＂Education 2030＂, we should create some strategies including making the higher education more inclusive, developing the higher education system based on equity and quality, exploring more efficient lifelong education patterns, strengthening international cooperation and assistance in higher education development, and so on.

关 键 词：世界高等教育 普及化 趋势预测 战略选择 

分 类 号：G649.1[文化科学—高等教育学]