产业海外转移对母国就业空间转移和产业转移效应研究  

Does Outward Industry Transfer Lead to Employment Transfer in Home Country?

作　　者：吴淑娟[1] 吴海民[2] 

机构地区：[1]五邑大学经济管理学院,副教授硕士广东江门529020 [2]广东五邑大学经济管理学院,教授广东江门529020

出　　处：《经济体制改革》2018年第1期101-108,共8页Reform of Economic System

基　　金：广东省自然科学基金项目"通货膨胀对实体经济的效率空心化效应研究"(2014A030313624);五邑大学青年基金项目"一带一路"战略背景下产业海外转移就业效应研究"(2015sk04);广东省普通高校特色创新类项目"大广海湾海洋产业调查及发展路径研究"(2016WTSCX114)的阶段性研究成果

摘　　要：中国产业海外转移,尤其是"一带一路"建设引发的产业海外转移浪潮,必然波动国内就业。为探讨中国产业海外转移引发的国内就业转移效应,本文采用GMM方法分别测量中国产业海外转移和向"一带一路"国家投资的国内就业转移效应。研究发现:产业海外转移指数代表的产业海外转移的国内就业效应为正效应,而向"一带一路"沿线国家投资的企业数量为代表的"一带一路"建设下的对外投资的母国就业效应为负效应。中国产业海外转移带来了各产业的就业变化和区域间的就业变化。为了缓解产业海外转移带来的国内就业压力,应该采取相应的措施加以应对。Chinese outward industry transfer （ OIT）, especially the trend of larger scale of overseas direct investment （ODI） under ＂The Belt and Road （B＆R）＂ construction, will bring the domestic labor transfer. In order to find out the employment transfer effect caused by OIT, by using the GMM method, the domestic transfer employment effects that are caused by the OIT and ODI under the B＆R are measured respectively. It is discovered that the results of OIT employment transfer effect is positive while that of ODI under the B＆R is negative. Chinese OIT employment effect varies from industries to industries and districts to districts. In order to alleviate the domestic employment pressure, and promote the overseas transfer of industry, a series of measures should be taken to deal with it.

关 键 词：产业海外转移 产业海外转移指数 就业转移效应 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]