环境规制、技术创新与产业结构升级  

Environmental regulation,technological innovation and industrial structure upgrading

作　　者：时乐乐[1] 赵军[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆大学经济与管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830046

出　　处：《科研管理》2018年第1期119-125,共7页Science Research Management

基　　金：新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目"天然气定价机制研究--以新疆为例"(项目编号:2015211C278;起止时间:2015.1-2017.12)

摘　　要：本文基于2002-2013年中国省际面板数据,采用非线性面板门槛模型,以环境规制和技术创新为门槛变量,实证研究环境规制、技术创新对产业结构升级的影响。研究表明:无论环境规制强度和其他因素变化与否,只要技术创新水平提高,就会促进产业结构升级;高强度环境规制对技术创新具有倒逼作用,有助于推动产业结构升级;环境规制依赖于产业技术创新水平的高低而对产业结构升级产生不同影响;市场化和人口受教育程度越高越有利于产业结构升级,固定资产投资对产业结构升级具有负向作用,外商直接投资和城镇化对产业结构升级影响不显著。最后本文提出政策建议。This paper adopts the nonlinear panel threshold model based on 2002 -2013 China＇ s provincial panel data, which takes environmental regulation and technological innovation as the threshold variable, and makes an empirical study on the impact of environmental regulation and technological innovation on industrial structure upgrading. The research shows that, whether envi- ronmental regulation intensity and other factors change or not, as long as the technological innovation level improves, industrial structure upgrading can be promoted. High intensity of environmental regulation has forced effect on technological innovation, which can promote industrial structure upgrading. Environmental regulation depends on industrial technological innovation level and has different effects on the industrial structure upgrading. The higher level of marketization and population education is conducive to industrial structure upgrading. Fixed assets investment has a negative effect on industrial structure upgrading. Foreign direct investment and urbanization have not significant effect on industrial structure upgrading. Finally, it proposes some suggestions.

关 键 词：环境规制 技术创新 产业结构升级 面板门槛模型 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]