投资内生化的房地产投入占用产出局部闭模型及其应用  

Partially Closed Input-occupancy-output Model of the Real Estate with Endogenous Investment and Its Applications

作　　者：陆子含 陈锡康[1] 高翔 LU Zi-han;CHEN Xi-kang;GAO Xiang(Chinese Academy of Science, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Beijing 100190, China;School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京100190 [2]中国科学院大学数学院,北京100049

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2018年第2期67-75,共9页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(61273208,71473244)

摘　　要：房地产在国民经济中占据特殊地位，为全面反映房地产与国民经济问的相互联系和促进关系，设计和构造了房地产投入占用产出表．分析表中数据可知，房地产发展对国民经济的主要影响与其他生产部门不同，主要通过增加企业毛盈余和政府收入进而拉动投资增长，最终实现经济增长．鉴于传统投入产出模型不能对此进行有效刻画，提出新的将投资内生化的投入产出局部闭模型．应用模型测算房地产对经济的拉动效应，得出的测算结果与传统模型相比明显偏大．Real estate occupies a special place in the whole national economy, to fully reflect the interconnections and promotion of the relation between real estate and national economy, this paper designs and constructs a input-occupancy-output table of real estate. Analyzing data in the table, we can know that real estate fuels economy growth mainly by increasing the operating surplus and the fiscal revenue, which is much different from other sectors. Because that characteristic cannot be efficiently depicted by the traditional input-output model, this paper presents a new partially closed input-occupancy-output model with endogenous investment. The model is applied to measure the economic pull of real estate and the calculated results are significantly larger than the conventional models.

关 键 词：房地产投入占用产出表 投资内生化 投入占用产出局部闭模型 宏观经 济效应 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济]